Coppa Italia
Oct 18, 2022 5.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Albert Gudmundsson 45'+1' goal

Genoa vs SPAL - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

SPAL

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Genoa.

Result

Genoa 46.15% (-0.58)
Draw 25.61% (+0.19)
SPAL 28.24% (+0.40)

Both Teams to Score: 

52.6% (-0.30)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.03% (-0.53)
Under 2.5 50.97% (+0.53)
Over 3.5 27.16% (-0.47)
Under 3.5 72.84% (+0.47)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5 77.93% (-0.48)
Under 0.5 22.07% (+0.48)
Over 1.5 44.58% (-0.73)
Under 1.5 55.42% (+0.73)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5 67.5% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 32.5% (-0.04)
Over 1.5 30.98% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 69.02% (-0.04)

Score analysis

Genoa 46.14%
Draw 25.61%
SPAL 28.24%
Genoa
1-0 @ 10.83% (+0.08)
2-1 @ 9.2% (-0.07)
2-0 @ 8.19% (-0.07)
3-1 @ 4.63% (-0.11)
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.10)
3-2 @ 2.61% (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.75% (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.56% (-0.06)
Other @ 3.25%
Total : 46.14%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.18% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.17% (+0.15)
2-2 @ 5.17% (-0.04)
Other @ 1.09%
Total : 25.61%
SPAL
0-1 @ 8.06% (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.85% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.53% (+0.11)
1-3 @ 2.57% (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.94% (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.7% (+0.05)
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 28.24%

Head to Head

Serie B Gameweek 7
Oct 1, 2022 1.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Paolo Mazza
  • goal Massimo Coda 19'
  • goal Albert Gudmundsson 88'
Serie A Gameweek 32
Jul 12, 2020 4.15pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Luigi Ferraris
  • Goran Pandev 24' goal
  • Lasse Schone 54' goal
  • Valon Behrami 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Sergio Floccari 64'
  • yellowcard Alberto Cerri 76'
Serie A Gameweek 13
Nov 25, 2019 7.45pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)
  • Andrea Petagna 28' yellowcard
  • Simone Missiroli 41' yellowcard
  • Andrea Petagna 55' goal
  • goal Stefano Sturaro 57'
  • yellowcard Paolo Ghiglione 61'
Serie A Gameweek 34
Apr 28, 2019 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Paolo Mazza (Ferrara)
  • Felipe 4' yellowcard
  • Felipe 36' goal
  • Francesco Vicari 39' yellowcard
  • Andrea Petagna 53' yellowcard
  • goal Gianluca Lapadula 56'
  • yellowcard Cristian Romero 62'
  • yellowcard Esteban Rolon 66'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 81'
Serie A Gameweek 15
Dec 9, 2018 5.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris (Genova)
  • Domenico Criscito 11' redcard
  • Krzysztof Piatek 38' goal
  • Miguel Veloso 55' yellowcard
  • goal Andrea Petagna 15'
  • yellowcard Andrea Petagna 25'
  • yellowcard Kevin Bonifazi 34'
  • yellowcard Francesco Vicari 81'
  • yellowcard Sergio Floccari 85'
  • yellowcard Mirko Valdifiori 87'
Serie A
Mar 31, 2018 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris (Genova)
  • Gianluca Lapadula 30' goal
  • Luca Rigoni 37' yellowcard
  • Andrea Bertolacci 64' yellowcard
  • Darko Lazovic 72' yellowcard
  • Adel Taarabt 88' yellowcard
  • redcard Francesco Vicari 29'
  • goal Manuel Lazzari 60'
  • yellowcard Manuel Lazzari 61'
  • yellowcard Filippo Costa 71'