Coppa Italia | Second Round

Oct 18, 2022 at 5pm UK

Stadio Luigi Ferraris

Genoa
1 - 0
SPAL

Gudmundsson (45+1' pen.)

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Coppa Italia clash between Genoa and SPAL, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Genoa

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Cosenza 1-2 Genoa
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

SPAL

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Cittadella 0-0 SPAL
Saturday, October 15 at 1pm in Serie B

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 46.15%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 28.24% and a draw had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.2%) and 2-0 (8.19%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.06%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Genoa in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Genoa.

Result
Genoa	Draw	SPAL
46.15% ( -0.58)	25.61% ( 0.18)	28.24% ( 0.39)

Both teams to score 52.6% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.03% (

-0.52)

50.97% (

0.52)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.16% (

-0.46)

72.84% (

0.46)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.93% (

-0.48)

22.07% (

0.48)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.58% (

-0.73)

55.42% (

0.73)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

67.5% (

0.03)

32.5% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

30.98% (

0.03)

69.02% (

-0.03)

Score Analysis

Genoa 46.14%

SPAL 28.24%

Draw 25.61%

Genoa	Draw	SPAL
1-0 @ 10.83% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.2% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 8.19% ( -0.06) 3-1 @ 4.63% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 4.12% ( -0.09) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 1.75% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 1.56% ( -0.06) 4-2 @ 0.98% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.27% Total : 46.14%	1-1 @ 12.18% ( 0.09) 0-0 @ 7.17% ( 0.15) 2-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.98% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.11% Total : 25.61%	0-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.17) 1-2 @ 6.85% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.53% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 2.57% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.94% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.7% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.6% Total : 28.24%