Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.03%. A draw had a probability of 24.7% and a win for Brescia had a probability of 23.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.58%) and 2-1 (9.57%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.76%), while for a Brescia win it was 0-1 (7.24%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.8% likelihood.

Result
Genoa	Draw	Brescia
52.03% ( 0.15)	24.74% ( 0.09)	23.22% ( -0.23)

Both teams to score 50.73% (

-0.53)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

48.77% (

-0.57)

51.23% (

0.57)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

26.94% (

-0.5)

73.06% (

0.5)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.33% (

-0.16)

19.67% (

0.16)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.35% (

-0.27)

51.65% (

0.26)

Brescia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.15% (

-0.53)

36.85% (

0.53)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

26.36% (

-0.53)

73.63% (

0.53)

Score Analysis

Genoa 52.03%

Brescia 23.22%

Draw 24.74%

Genoa	Draw	Brescia
1-0 @ 11.78% ( 0.21) 2-0 @ 9.58% ( 0.12) 2-1 @ 9.57% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.19% ( 0.04) 3-1 @ 5.19% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.59% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.11% ( 0) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.05% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.86% Total : 52.03%	1-1 @ 11.76% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 7.25% ( 0.16) 2-2 @ 4.78% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.96% Total : 24.74%	0-1 @ 7.24% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 5.87% ( -0.07) 0-2 @ 3.61% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.96% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.2% ( -0.03) Other @ 1.75% Total : 23.22%