Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 45.14%. A draw had a probability of 28% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 26.83%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.02%) and 2-1 (8.53%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.96%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (9.85%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood.

Result
Bari	Draw	Sudtirol
45.14% ( 0.96)	28.02% ( -0.09)	26.83% ( -0.88)

Both teams to score 44.74% (

-0.32)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

39.36% (

-0.13)

60.63% (

0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

19.28% (

-0.1)

80.72% (

0.1)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.17% (

0.44)

26.83% (

-0.44)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.87% (

0.57)

62.12% (

-0.58)

Sudtirol Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.15% (

-0.81)

38.85% (

0.81)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.42% (

-0.78)

75.58% (

0.78)

Score Analysis

Bari 45.14%

Sudtirol 26.83%

Draw 28.01%

Bari	Draw	Sudtirol
1-0 @ 13.71% ( 0.24) 2-0 @ 9.02% ( 0.26) 2-1 @ 8.53% ( 0.06) 3-0 @ 3.96% ( 0.16) 3-1 @ 3.74% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 1.77% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0.04) Other @ 1.88% Total : 45.14%	1-1 @ 12.96% ( -0.06) 0-0 @ 10.42% ( 0.05) 2-2 @ 4.03% ( -0.06) Other @ 0.6% Total : 28.01%	0-1 @ 9.85% ( -0.17) 1-2 @ 6.13% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.19) 1-3 @ 1.93% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 1.27% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.52% Total : 26.83%