Perugia logo
Serie B | Gameweek 9
Oct 16, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Renato Curi

Perugia
1 - 2
Sudtirol

Melchiorri (50')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Mazzocchi (13'), Carretta (86')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Perugia and Sudtirol.

Form, Standings, Stats

Perugia

All competitions
Last Game: Como 1-0 Perugia
Sunday, October 9 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Sudtirol

All competitions
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-1 Benevento
Sunday, October 9 at 3.15pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Perugia win with a probability of 41.57%. A draw had a probability of 29.5% and a win for Sudtirol had a probability of 28.97%.

The most likely scoreline for a Perugia win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.41%) and 2-1 (7.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.3%), while for a Sudtirol win it was 0-1 (11.22%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6.2% likelihood.

Result
PerugiaDrawSudtirol
41.57% (0.209 0.21)29.46% (0.146 0.15)28.97% (-0.362 -0.36)
Both teams to score 42.24% (-0.527 -0.53)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
35.64% (-0.57 -0.57)64.35% (0.565 0.56)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
16.56% (-0.406 -0.41)83.43% (0.398 0.4)
Perugia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.42% (-0.16499999999999 -0.16)30.57% (0.159 0.16)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.19% (-0.194 -0.19)66.8% (0.188 0.19)
Sudtirol Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
60.84% (-0.616 -0.62)39.16% (0.60899999999999 0.61)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.13% (-0.581 -0.58)75.87% (0.575 0.58)
Score Analysis
    Perugia 41.56%
    Sudtirol 28.96%
    Draw 29.45%
PerugiaDrawSudtirol
1-0 @ 14.18% (0.23 0.23)
2-0 @ 8.41% (0.101 0.1)
2-1 @ 7.88% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-0 @ 3.32% (0.025 0.02)
3-1 @ 3.11% (-0.028 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.46% (-0.038 -0.04)
4-0 @ 0.98% (0.003 0)
4-1 @ 0.92% (-0.013 -0.01)
Other @ 1.3%
Total : 41.56%
1-1 @ 13.3%
0-0 @ 11.97% (0.25 0.25)
2-2 @ 3.7% (-0.078 -0.08)
Other @ 0.49%
Total : 29.45%
0-1 @ 11.22% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
1-2 @ 6.24% (-0.105 -0.11)
0-2 @ 5.26% (-0.065 -0.07)
1-3 @ 1.95% (-0.066 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.64% (-0.049 -0.05)
2-3 @ 1.16% (-0.044 -0.04)
Other @ 1.5%
Total : 28.96%

rhs 2.0


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