Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sudtirol win with a probability of 43%. A draw had a probability of 28.9% and a win for Cosenza Calcio had a probability of 28.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sudtirol win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.67%) and 2-1 (8.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.18%), while for a Cosenza Calcio win it was 0-1 (10.67%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.2% likelihood.