Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 37.2%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 35.06% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.79%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (10.77%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.08%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reggina would win this match.

Result
Reggina	Draw	Genoa
37.2% ( 1.57)	27.75% ( 0.35)	35.06% ( -1.92)

Both teams to score 48.53% (

-1.11)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.68% (

-1.37)

57.32% (

1.38)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.85% (

-1.11)

78.15% (

1.11)

Reggina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.34% (

0.29)

29.66% (

-0.29)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.29% (

0.35)

65.71% (

-0.35)

Genoa Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

69% (

-1.88)

31% (

1.88)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.7% (

-2.25)

67.3% (

2.26)

Score Analysis

Reggina 37.19%

Genoa 35.06%

Draw 27.74%

Reggina	Draw	Genoa
1-0 @ 11.17% ( 0.66) 2-1 @ 7.95% ( 0.13) 2-0 @ 6.79% ( 0.45) 3-1 @ 3.22% ( 0.08) 3-0 @ 2.75% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 1.89% ( -0.05) 4-1 @ 0.98% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.44% Total : 37.19%	1-1 @ 13.08% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.66% ( -0.17) Other @ 0.81% Total : 27.74%	0-1 @ 10.77% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 7.67% ( -0.34) 0-2 @ 6.31% ( -0.33) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( -0.3) 0-3 @ 2.46% ( -0.27) 2-3 @ 1.82% ( -0.17) Other @ 3.04% Total : 35.06%