Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reggina win with a probability of 49.65%. A draw had a probability of 26.5% and a win for Perugia had a probability of 23.84%.

The most likely scoreline for a Reggina win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.44%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.08%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.42%), while for a Perugia win it was 0-1 (8.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 1.3% likelihood.

Result
Reggina	Draw	Perugia
49.65% ( -0.14)	26.51% ( 0.01)	23.84% ( 0.13)

Both teams to score 46.33% (

0.08)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

42.67% (

0.04)

57.34% (

-0.04)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

21.84% (

0.04)

78.17% (

-0.03)

Reggina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

76.82% (

-0.04)

23.18% (

0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

42.93% (

-0.06)

57.07% (

0.07)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.32% (

0.14)

39.68% (

-0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.64% (

0.13)

76.36% (

-0.13)

Score Analysis

Reggina 49.64%

Perugia 23.84%

Draw 26.5%

Reggina	Draw	Perugia
1-0 @ 13.44% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.04) 2-1 @ 9.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.79% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.43% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.05% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.62% ( -0) Other @ 2.66% Total : 49.64%	1-1 @ 12.42% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 9.2% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.2% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.69% Total : 26.5%	0-1 @ 8.5% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 5.74% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 3.93% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 1.77% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.21% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.39% Total : 23.84%