Serie B | Gameweek 19
Dec 26, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Comunale San Nicola
Genoa logo

Bari
1 - 2
Genoa

Cheddira (33')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Puscas (2'), Gudmundsson (58')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Bari and Genoa.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bari

All competitions
Last Game: Reggina 0-0 Bari
Saturday, December 17 at 7.30pm in Serie B

Genoa

All competitions
Last Game: Genoa 1-0 Frosinone
Sunday, December 18 at 7.45pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bari win with a probability of 42.75%. A win for Genoa had a probability of 30.21% and a draw had a probability of 27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.69%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.68%) and 2-0 (7.93%). The likeliest Genoa win was 0-1 (9.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.8%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
BariDrawGenoa
42.75% (0.568 0.57)27.04% (0.122 0.12)30.21% (-0.694 -0.69)
Both teams to score 49.38% (-0.665 -0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.34% (-0.711 -0.71)55.66% (0.706 0.71)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.19% (-0.584 -0.58)76.81% (0.57899999999999 0.58)
Bari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.23% (-0.028000000000006 -0.03)25.77% (0.023999999999997 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.29% (-0.038000000000004 -0.04)60.71% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Genoa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.52% (-0.875 -0.88)33.47% (0.87 0.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.89% (-0.967 -0.97)70.11% (0.96299999999999 0.96)
Score Analysis
    Bari 42.75%
    Genoa 30.21%
    Draw 27.03%
BariDrawGenoa
1-0 @ 11.69% (0.31 0.31)
2-1 @ 8.68% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
2-0 @ 7.93% (0.203 0.2)
3-1 @ 3.92% (0.0049999999999999 0)
3-0 @ 3.59% (0.089 0.09)
3-2 @ 2.15% (-0.049 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.33% (0.0010000000000001 0)
4-0 @ 1.22% (0.029 0.03)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 42.75%
1-1 @ 12.8% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.63% (0.233 0.23)
2-2 @ 4.75% (-0.105 -0.11)
Other @ 0.86%
Total : 27.03%
0-1 @ 9.44% (0.032999999999999 0.03)
1-2 @ 7.01% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 5.17% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.56% (-0.117 -0.12)
0-3 @ 1.88% (-0.085 -0.09)
2-3 @ 1.73% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.43%
Total : 30.21%

How you voted: Bari vs Genoa

Bari
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Genoa
33.3%
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