Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cittadella win with a probability of 46.93%. A draw had a probability of 28.3% and a win for Bari had a probability of 24.81%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cittadella win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.69%) and 2-1 (8.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.86%), while for a Bari win it was 0-1 (9.77%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 1.2% likelihood.

Result
Cittadella	Draw	Bari
46.93% ( 0.01)	28.25% ( -0.01)	24.81% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 42.69% (

0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

37.52% (

0.03)

62.48% (

-0.03)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

17.91% (

0.02)

82.09% (

-0.02)

Cittadella Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.22% (

0.02)

26.78% (

-0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

37.93% (

0.03)

62.06% (

-0.03)

Bari Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.3% (

0.01)

41.7% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

21.83% (

0.01)

78.17% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Cittadella 46.93%

Bari 24.81%

Draw 28.24%

Cittadella	Draw	Bari
1-0 @ 14.71% 2-0 @ 9.69% ( 0) 2-1 @ 8.48% ( 0) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 1.4% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.23% ( 0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 46.93%	1-1 @ 12.86% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.16% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 3.71% ( 0) Other @ 0.51% Total : 28.24%	0-1 @ 9.77% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.63% ( 0) 0-2 @ 4.27% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.64% ( 0) 0-3 @ 1.25% 2-3 @ 1.08% ( 0) Other @ 1.18% Total : 24.81%