Conference League
Feb 23, 2023 8.00pm
3
2
HT : 1 2
FT
  • Rolando Mandragora 37' goal
  • Riccardo Saponara 58' goal
  • Arthur Cabral 83' goal
  • goal Andre Castro 16'
  • goal Alvaro Djalo 34'

Fiorentina vs Braga - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
Braga 0 - 4 Fiorentina

Braga

All competitions
Conference League
Last game
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
Braga 0 - 4 Fiorentina

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Braga had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result

Fiorentina 48.95% (-0.01)
Draw 23.93%
Braga 27.12% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

57.24% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.51% (-0.01)
Under 2.5 44.49% (+0.01)
Over 3.5 33.14% (-0.01)
Under 3.5 66.85% (+0.01)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5 81.72% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 18.28% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 50.65% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 49.34% (+0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5 70.04% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 29.96% (-0.01)
Over 1.5 33.93% (-0.01)
Under 1.5 66.07% (-0.01)

Score analysis

Fiorentina 48.95%
Draw 23.92%
Braga 27.12%
Fiorentina
2-1 @ 9.53% (-0.01)
1-0 @ 9.31% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 7.91% (-0.01)
3-1 @ 5.4% (-0.01)
3-0 @ 4.48% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.25% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 2.29% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 1.9% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.38%
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 48.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.21%
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.48% (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.31% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.92%
Braga
1-2 @ 6.76% (+0.01)
0-1 @ 6.6% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 3.98% (+0.01)
1-3 @ 2.72%
2-3 @ 2.31%
0-3 @ 1.6%
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 27.12%

Head to Head

Conference League
Feb 16, 2023 5.45pm
0
4
HT : 0 1
FT
  • goal Luka Jovic 45'+1'
  • goal Luka Jovic 60'
  • goal Arthur Cabral 79'
  • goal Arthur Cabral 90'