UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 2nd Leg

Feb 23, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
3 - 2
Braga

(Fiorentina win 7-2 on aggregate)

Mandragora (37'), Saponara (58'), Cabral (83')

FT(HT: 1-2)

Castro (16'), Djalo (34')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Braga, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-1 Empoli
Sunday, February 19 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Braga 2-0 Arouca
Sunday, February 19 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 48.95%. A win for Braga had a probability of 27.12% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.31%) and 2-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Braga win was 1-2 (6.76%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.21%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Braga
48.95% ( -0.01)	23.93%	27.12% ( 0.01)

Both teams to score 57.24% (

-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.51% (

-0.01)

44.49% (

0.01)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.14% (

-0.01)

66.85% (

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.72% (

-0.01)

18.28% (

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.65% (

-0.01)

49.34% (

0.01)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.04% (

-0)

29.96% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

33.93% (

-0)

66.07% (

-0)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 48.95%

Braga 27.12%

Draw 23.92%

Fiorentina	Draw	Braga
2-1 @ 9.53% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.31% ( 0) 2-0 @ 7.91% ( -0) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0) 3-0 @ 4.48% ( -0) 3-2 @ 3.25% ( -0) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0) 4-0 @ 1.9% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.38% Other @ 3.49% Total : 48.95%	1-1 @ 11.21% 2-2 @ 5.74% ( -0) 0-0 @ 5.48% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.31% ( -0) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.92%	1-2 @ 6.76% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.6% ( 0) 0-2 @ 3.98% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.72% 2-3 @ 2.31% 0-3 @ 1.6% Other @ 3.16% Total : 27.12%