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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Rabiot (34')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawFiorentina
49.83% (4.308 4.31)24.14% (-0.854 -0.85)26.02% (-3.453 -3.45)
Both teams to score 55.54% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72% (1.435 1.44)46.28% (-1.434 -1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (1.338 1.34)68.57% (-1.339 -1.34)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (2.372 2.37)18.62% (-2.371 -2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.07% (3.841 3.84)49.92% (-3.841 -3.84)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-1.838 -1.84)31.75% (1.839 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-2.164 -2.16)68.17% (2.165 2.17)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 49.83%
    Fiorentina 26.02%
    Draw 24.14%
JuventusDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.349 0.35)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.702 0.7)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.565 0.57)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.698 0.7)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.181 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.381 0.38)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.413 0.41)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 49.83%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.14%
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.795 -0.8)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.599 -0.6)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.682 -0.68)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.352 -0.35)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 26.02%

How you voted: Juventus vs Fiorentina

Juventus
75.9%
Draw
18.1%
Fiorentina
6.0%
116
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Juventus
Kouame (29')
Amrabat (15')
Milik (9')
Sandro (33'), Locatelli (52'), Danilo (53')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-0
Juventus
Duncan (45+1'), Gonzalez (90+2' pen.)
Julio (44'), Venuti (56'), Amrabat (70')

Kean (44'), Rabiot (56'), de Ligt (84')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Juventus
2-0
Fiorentina
Bernardeschi (32'), Danilo (90+4')
De Sciglio (45+2')

Martinez (72')
Mar 2, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Fiorentina
0-1
Juventus

Bonaventura (71'), Milenkovic (72'), Torreira (90')
Venuti (90+1' og.)
Pellegrini (57'), De Sciglio (79')
Nov 6, 2021 5pm
Juventus
1-0
Fiorentina
Cuadrado (90+1')
Danilo (45+2'), Rugani (88')

Martinez (26'), Milenkovic (66'), Nastasic (82')
Milenkovic (73')
rhs 2.0


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