Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.
Result | ||
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
49.83% ( 4.31) | 24.14% ( -0.85) | 26.02% ( -3.45) |
Both teams to score 55.54% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.72% ( 1.44) | 46.28% ( -1.43) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.43% ( 1.34) | 68.57% ( -1.34) |
Juventus Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.37% ( 2.37) | 18.62% ( -2.37) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.07% ( 3.84) | 49.92% ( -3.84) |
Fiorentina Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.25% ( -1.84) | 31.75% ( 1.84) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
31.82% ( -2.16) | 68.17% ( 2.17) |
Score Analysis |
Juventus | Draw | Fiorentina |
1-0 @ 9.94% ( 0.14) 2-1 @ 9.58% ( 0.35) 2-0 @ 8.35% ( 0.7) 3-1 @ 5.37% ( 0.57) 3-0 @ 4.68% ( 0.7) 3-2 @ 3.08% ( 0.18) 4-1 @ 2.26% ( 0.38) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.41) 4-2 @ 1.29% ( 0.16) Other @ 3.32% Total : 49.83% | 1-1 @ 11.4% ( -0.43) 0-0 @ 5.91% ( -0.37) 2-2 @ 5.5% ( -0.08) 3-3 @ 1.18% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.14% | 0-1 @ 6.78% ( -0.8) 1-2 @ 6.54% ( -0.6) 0-2 @ 3.89% ( -0.68) 1-3 @ 2.5% ( -0.37) 2-3 @ 2.1% ( -0.14) 0-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.35) Other @ 2.71% Total : 26.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
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