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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 12, 2023 at 5pm UK
Allianz Stadium
Fiorentina logo

Juventus
1 - 0
Fiorentina

Rabiot (34')
Rabiot (2'), Allegri (3'), Sandro (19'), Bremer (85'), Kostic (88'), Kean (90+6')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Duncan (31'), Bonaventura (48')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Juventus and Fiorentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Salernitana 0-3 Juventus
Tuesday, February 7 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Juventus 2-1 Fiorentina

The only thing consistent about Fiorentina is their inconsistency, so it is unclear which shade of Viola will turn up in Turin. That notwithstanding, Juventus are growing closer to full strength in terms of personnel and have begun coming to terms with their points penalty - it is the Old Lady who will come out on top, then. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Juventus win with a probability of 49.83%. A win for Fiorentina had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Juventus win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.58%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Fiorentina win was 0-1 (6.78%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.4%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Juventus in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Juventus.

Result
JuventusDrawFiorentina
49.83% (4.308 4.31) 24.14% (-0.854 -0.85) 26.02% (-3.453 -3.45)
Both teams to score 55.54% (0.167 0.17)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.72% (1.435 1.44)46.28% (-1.434 -1.43)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.43% (1.338 1.34)68.57% (-1.339 -1.34)
Juventus Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.37% (2.372 2.37)18.62% (-2.371 -2.37)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.07% (3.841 3.84)49.92% (-3.841 -3.84)
Fiorentina Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.25% (-1.838 -1.84)31.75% (1.839 1.84)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
31.82% (-2.164 -2.16)68.17% (2.165 2.17)
Score Analysis
    Juventus 49.83%
    Fiorentina 26.02%
    Draw 24.14%
JuventusDrawFiorentina
1-0 @ 9.94% (0.137 0.14)
2-1 @ 9.58% (0.349 0.35)
2-0 @ 8.35% (0.702 0.7)
3-1 @ 5.37% (0.565 0.57)
3-0 @ 4.68% (0.698 0.7)
3-2 @ 3.08% (0.181 0.18)
4-1 @ 2.26% (0.381 0.38)
4-0 @ 1.97% (0.413 0.41)
4-2 @ 1.29% (0.162 0.16)
Other @ 3.32%
Total : 49.83%
1-1 @ 11.4% (-0.43 -0.43)
0-0 @ 5.91% (-0.367 -0.37)
2-2 @ 5.5% (-0.075 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.18% (0.011 0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 24.14%
0-1 @ 6.78% (-0.795 -0.8)
1-2 @ 6.54% (-0.599 -0.6)
0-2 @ 3.89% (-0.682 -0.68)
1-3 @ 2.5% (-0.371 -0.37)
2-3 @ 2.1% (-0.14 -0.14)
0-3 @ 1.49% (-0.352 -0.35)
Other @ 2.71%
Total : 26.02%

How you voted: Juventus vs Fiorentina

Juventus
75.9%
Draw
18.1%
Fiorentina
6.0%
116
Head to Head
Sep 3, 2022 2pm
Fiorentina
1-1
Juventus
Kouame (29')
Amrabat (15')
Milik (9')
Sandro (33'), Locatelli (52'), Danilo (53')
May 21, 2022 7.45pm
Fiorentina
2-0
Juventus
Duncan (45+1'), Gonzalez (90+2' pen.)
Julio (44'), Venuti (56'), Amrabat (70')

Kean (44'), Rabiot (56'), de Ligt (84')
Apr 20, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Juventus
2-0
Fiorentina
Bernardeschi (32'), Danilo (90+4')
De Sciglio (45+2')

Martinez (72')
Mar 2, 2022 8pm
Semi-Finals
Fiorentina
0-1
Juventus

Bonaventura (71'), Milenkovic (72'), Torreira (90')
Venuti (90+1' og.)
Pellegrini (57'), De Sciglio (79')
Nov 6, 2021 5pm
Juventus
1-0
Fiorentina
Cuadrado (90+1')
Danilo (45+2'), Rugani (88')

Martinez (26'), Milenkovic (66'), Nastasic (82')
Milenkovic (73')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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