Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK

Stadio Renato Dall'Ara

Bologna
2 - 0
Spezia

Posch (37'), Orsolini (77')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Bologna and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Bologna

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Bologna 1-1 Cremonese
Monday, January 23 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Spezia

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Roma
Sunday, January 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 20.67%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.

Result
Bologna	Draw	Spezia
56.62% ( -0.04)	22.71% ( 0.05)	20.67% ( -0.01)

Both teams to score 53.71% (

-0.18)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.41% (

-0.24)

45.59% (

0.23)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.08% (

-0.23)

67.91% (

0.22)

Bologna Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.11% (

-0.1)

15.89% (

0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

54.88% (

-0.18)

45.12% (

0.18)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86% (

-0.15)

36.14% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08% (

-0.15)

72.92% (

0.15)

Score Analysis

Bologna 56.62%

Spezia 20.67%

Draw 22.7%

Bologna	Draw	Spezia
1-0 @ 10.56% ( 0.07) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 9.71% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.06% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 5.96% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.09% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 2.74% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.03% ( -0.01) 5-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.37% Total : 56.62%	1-1 @ 10.75% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 5.03% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.05% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.13% Total : 22.7%	0-1 @ 5.84% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 5.47% ( -0) 0-2 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.71% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 1.81% Total : 20.67%