Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 27, 2023 at 5.30pm UK
Stadio Renato Dall'Ara
Bologna2 - 0Spezia
We said: Bologna 1-0 Spezia
A dire away record - reading two wins and four goals from nine road trips so far - means Spezia are prime targets for Bologna to defeat and secure a first home success of 2023. The visitors have become harder to beat, but their Emilian hosts are overdue a victory at Dall'Ara and can edge a close-fought encounter. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bologna win with a probability of 56.62%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 20.67%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bologna win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 2-0 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.75%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.84%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bologna would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Bologna | Draw | Spezia |
56.62% ( -0.04) | 22.71% ( 0.05) | 20.67% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 53.71% ( -0.18) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
