Serie A Gameweek 19
Spezia
Jan 22, 2023 5.00pm
0
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Alberto Picco
Roma
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 45'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 49'

Spezia vs Roma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2023 2.00pm
Torino 0 - 1 Spezia
Goals scored
31
Top scorer
Mbala N'Zola

Roma

All competitions
Last game
Jan 15, 2023 7.45pm
Roma 2 - 0 Fiorentina
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Paulo Dybala

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result

Spezia 20.73% ▲ (+0.01)
Draw 22.46% ▼ (-0.02)
Roma 56.82% ▲ (+0.02)

Both Teams to Score: 

54.61% ▲ (+0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5 55.56% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 2.5 44.44% ▼ (-0.08)
Over 3.5 33.19% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 66.81% ▼ (-0.07)

Spezia Goals

Over 0.5 64.57% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 0.5 35.43% ▼ (-0.05)
Over 1.5 27.81% ▲ (+0.05)
Under 1.5 72.19% ▼ (-0.05)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5 84.57% ▲ (+0.04)
Under 0.5 15.42% ▼ (-0.03)
Over 1.5 55.74% ▲ (+0.06)
Under 1.5 44.25% ▼ (-0.06)

Score analysis

Spezia 20.73%
Draw 22.45%
Roma 56.81%
Spezia
1-0 @ 5.67% ▼ (-0.02)
2-1 @ 5.5% ▲ (+0.01)
2-0 @ 2.94% ▼ (-0.01)
3-1 @ 1.9% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 1.78% ▲ (+0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 20.73%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% ▼ (-0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.45%
Roma
0-1 @ 10.21% ▼ (-0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91% ▲ (+0.01)
0-2 @ 9.55% ▼ (-0.02)
1-3 @ 6.17% ▲ (+0.01)
0-3 @ 5.95% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 3.2% ▲ (+0.01)
1-4 @ 2.88% ▲ (+0.01)
0-4 @ 2.78% ▲ (+0.01)
2-4 @ 1.5% ▲ (+0.01)
1-5 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
0-5 @ 1.04% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 56.81%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 27
Spezia
Feb 27, 2022 5.05pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT
Roma
  • Kevin Agudelo 30' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Amian 39' yellowcard
  • Kelvin Amian 45' redcard
  • Jakub Kiwior 86' yellowcard
  • Giulio Maggiore 90'+7' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Gianluca Mancini 45'+3'
  • yellowcard Marash Kumbulla 64'
  • yellowcard Nicolo Zaniolo 90'+5'
  • goal Tammy Abraham 90'+9'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Roma
Dec 13, 2021 7.45pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT
Spezia
  • Chris Smalling 6' goal
  • Matias Vina 54' yellowcard
  • Ibanez 56' goal
  • Marash Kumbulla 65' yellowcard
  • Felix Afena-Gyan 70' yellowcard
  • Felix Afena-Gyan 90'+3' redcard
  • yellowcard Emmanuel Gyasi 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 38
Spezia
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
2
2
HT : 2 0
FT
Roma
  • Daniele Verde 6' goal
  • Tommaso Pobega 38' goal
  • goal Stephan El Shaarawy 52'
  • goal Henrikh Mkhitaryan 85'
  • yellowcard Marash Kumbulla 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 19
Roma
Jan 23, 2021 2.00pm
4
3
HT : 1 1
FT
Spezia
  • Borja Mayoral 17' goal
  • Borja Mayoral 52' goal
  • Rick Karsdorp 55' goal
  • Bruno Peres 87' yellowcard
  • Borja Mayoral 87' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 90'+2' goal
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 90'+3' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Julian Chabot 21'
  • goal Roberto Piccoli 24'
  • goal Diego Farias 59'
  • goal Daniele Verde 90'
Coppa Italia
Roma
Jan 19, 2021 8.15pm
2
4
HT : 1 2
ET
Spezia
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 43' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 51' yellowcard
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 73' goal
  • Gianluca Mancini 92' redcard
  • Pau Lopez 92' redcard
  • Lorenzo Pellegrini 111' yellowcard
  • goal Andrey Galabinov 6'
  • yellowcard Kevin Agudelo 13'
  • goal Riccardo Saponara 15'
  • yellowcard Ardian Ismajli 24'
  • yellowcard Christian Dell'Orco 90'+1'
  • goal Daniele Verde 107'
  • goal Riccardo Saponara 119'
Coppa Italia
Roma
Dec 16, 2015 1.30pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Spezia
  • Salih Ucan 19' yellowcard
  • William Vainqueur 40' yellowcard
  • Antonio Rudiger 91' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Claudio Terzi 34'
  • yellowcard Nene 35'

Form Data

Atalanta 5 - 2 Spezia
Torino 0 - 1 Spezia
Spezia 0 - 0 Lecce
Spezia 2 - 2 Atalanta
Hellas Verona 1 - 2 Spezia
Spezia 1 - 1 Udinese
Roma 2 - 0 Fiorentina
Roma 1 - 0 Genoa
AC Milan 2 - 2 Roma
Roma 1 - 0 Bologna
Roma 3 - 0 RKC Waalwijk
Roma 1 - 0 Casa Pia