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Serie A

Spezia Calcio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Roma logo

Spezia
0 - 2
Roma

FT(HT: 0-1)
El Shaarawy (45'), Abraham (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Spezia and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Spezia

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Atalanta 5-2 Spezia
Thursday, January 19 at 2pm in Coppa Italia

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 2-0 Fiorentina
Sunday, January 15 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 20.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.

Result
SpeziaDrawRoma
20.73% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)22.46% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)56.82% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Both teams to score 54.61% (0.058999999999997 0.06)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.56% (0.075000000000003 0.08)44.44% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.19% (0.072000000000003 0.07)66.81% (-0.069999999999993 -0.07)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
64.57% (0.046999999999997 0.05)35.43% (-0.045000000000002 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
27.81% (0.048999999999999 0.05)72.19% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.57% (0.030000000000001 0.03)15.42% (-0.028 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
55.74% (0.057000000000002 0.06)44.25% (-0.055 -0.05)
Score Analysis
    Spezia 20.73%
    Roma 56.81%
    Draw 22.45%
SpeziaDrawRoma
1-0 @ 5.67% (-0.011 -0.01)
2-1 @ 5.5% (0.0019999999999998 0)
2-0 @ 2.94% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
3-1 @ 1.9% (0.0029999999999999 0)
3-2 @ 1.78% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
3-0 @ 1.02% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.92%
Total : 20.73%
1-1 @ 10.59% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 5.47% (-0.017 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.14% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.11% (0.004 0)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 22.45%
0-1 @ 10.21% (-0.02 -0.02)
1-2 @ 9.91% (0.0010000000000012 0)
0-2 @ 9.55% (-0.010999999999999 -0.01)
1-3 @ 6.17% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
0-3 @ 5.95% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
2-3 @ 3.2% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
1-4 @ 2.88% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
0-4 @ 2.78% (0.0029999999999997 0)
2-4 @ 1.5% (0.0049999999999999 0)
1-5 @ 1.08% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-5 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.55%
Total : 56.81%

How you voted: Spezia vs Roma

Spezia
8.1%
Draw
15.1%
Roma
76.7%
86
Head to Head
Feb 27, 2022 5.05pm
Spezia
0-1
Roma

Agudelo (30'), Amian (39'), Kiwior (86'), Maggiore (90+7')
Amian (45')
Abraham (90+9' pen.)
Mancini (45+3'), Kumbulla (64'), Zaniolo (90+5')
Dec 13, 2021 7.45pm
Roma
2-0
Spezia
Smalling (6'), Ibanez (56')
Vina (54'), Kumbulla (65'), Afena-Gyan (70')
Afena-Gyan (90+3')

Gyasi (90+2')
May 23, 2021 7.45pm
Spezia
2-2
Roma
Verde (6'), Pobega (38')
El Shaarawy (52'), Mkhitaryan (85')
Kumbulla (90+4')
Jan 23, 2021 2pm
Roma
4-3
Spezia
Mayoral (17', 52'), Karsdorp (55'), Pellegrini (90+2')
Peres (87'), Mayoral (87'), Pellegrini (90+3')
Piccoli (24'), Farias (59'), Verde (90')
Chabot (21')
Jan 19, 2021 8.15pm
Rounds of 16
Roma
2-4
Spezia
Pellegrini (43' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73')
Mancini (51'), Pellegrini (111')
Mancini (92'), Lopez (92')
Galabinov (6' pen.), Saponara (15', 119'), Verde (107')
Agudelo (13'), Ismajli (24'), Dell'Orco (90+1')