Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 22, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Alberto Picco
Spezia0 - 2Roma
We said: Spezia 1-2 Roma
Having lost just once on home soil this season, Spezia are draw specialists at the Picco. They surely cannot repeat the trick on Sunday, though, against opponents with momentum on their side - Dybala and Abraham are striking up an understanding which will be too hot for the hosts to handle. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 56.82%. A draw had a probability of 22.5% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 20.73%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.21%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.91%) and 0-2 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.59%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-0 (5.67%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Spezia | Draw | Roma |
20.73% ( 0.01) | 22.46% ( -0.02) | 56.82% ( 0.01) |
| Both teams to score 54.61% ( 0.06) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
