/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fatllog_1.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F20%2F53%2Fspecallog_1.png)
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Ademola Lookman
10'
-
Ademola Lookman
12'
-
Hans Hateboer
26'
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Rasmus Hojlund
72'
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Ethan Ampadu
90'
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Albin Ekdal
14'
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Daniele Verde
38'
Atalanta BC vs Spezia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F03%2Fatalanta.jpg)
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 58.73%. A draw had a probability of 21% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 20.32%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.87%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.71%) and 1-0 (8.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.58%), while for a Spezia win it was 1-2 (5.43%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atalanta BC would win this match.
Result
Atalanta BC
58.73%
▲
(+0.01)
Draw
20.95%
Spezia
20.32%
▼
(-0.01)
Both Teams to Score:
59.16%
▼
(-0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5
61.88%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 2.5
38.12%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 3.5
39.61%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 3.5
60.39%
▲
(+0.01)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5
87.26%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 0.5
12.74%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
61.01%
▲
(+0.01)
Under 1.5
38.99%
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5
67.79%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 0.5
32.21%
▲
(+0.01)
Over 1.5
31.31%
▼
(-0.01)
Under 1.5
68.7%
▲
(+0.01)
Score analysis
Atalanta BC
58.73%
Draw
20.95%
Spezia
20.32%
Atalanta BC
2-1
@
9.87%
2-0 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.78%
3-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 3.49%
4-0 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 58.73%
2-0 @ 8.71% ▲ (+0.01)
1-0 @ 8.45% ▲ (+0.01)
3-1 @ 6.78%
3-0 @ 5.98% ▲ (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.84%
4-1 @ 3.49%
4-0 @ 3.08% ▲ (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.98%
5-1 @ 1.44%
5-0 @ 1.27%
Other @ 3.84%
Total : 58.73%
Draw
1-1
@
9.58%
▲
(+0.01)
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.95%
2-2 @ 5.59% ▼ (-0.01)
0-0 @ 4.1% ▲ (+0.01)
3-3 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 0.23%
Total : 20.95%
Spezia
1-2
@
5.43%
▼
(-0.01)
0-1 @ 4.65%
0-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 20.32%
0-1 @ 4.65%
0-2 @ 2.63% ▼ (-0.01)
2-3 @ 2.11% ▼ (-0.01)
1-3 @ 2.05% ▼ (-0.01)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 20.32%
