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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Spezia Calcio logo

Empoli
2 - 2
Spezia

Cambiaghi (71'), Vignato (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Verde (25' pen., 31')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Spezia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Empoli
Saturday, February 4 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Spezia 0-3 Napoli
Sunday, February 5 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 45.77%. A win for Spezia had a probability of 27.91% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.04%) and 2-0 (8.45%). The likeliest Spezia win was 0-1 (8.63%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.8% likelihood.

Result
EmpoliDrawSpezia
45.77% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)26.31% (0.00099999999999767 0)27.91% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.0050000000000026 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.06% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)53.94% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.61% (-0.004999999999999 -0)75.38% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
76.49% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)23.51% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
42.45% (-0.0069999999999979 -0.01)57.55% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
Spezia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
65.68% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)34.31%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
28.98% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)71.02%
Score Analysis
    Empoli 45.76%
    Spezia 27.91%
    Draw 26.31%
EmpoliDrawSpezia
1-0 @ 11.67%
2-1 @ 9.04%
2-0 @ 8.45% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 4.36% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 4.08% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 2.33%
4-1 @ 1.58% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 1.48%
Other @ 2.76%
Total : 45.76%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 8.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
2-2 @ 4.84% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 8.63% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.68%
0-2 @ 4.62% (0.0010000000000003 0)
1-3 @ 2.38%
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
0-3 @ 1.65%
Other @ 2.24%
Total : 27.91%

How you voted: Empoli vs Spezia

Empoli
85.7%
Draw
7.1%
Spezia
7.1%
28
Head to Head
Aug 14, 2022 7.45pm
Spezia
1-0
Empoli
N'Zola (36')
Gyasi (4'), Reca (60')

Henderson (14')
Apr 9, 2022 2pm
Dec 19, 2021 2pm
Spezia
1-1
Empoli
Marchizza (50' og.)
Maggiore (21'), Amian (88'), Kovalenko (90')
Nikolaou (71' og.)
Tonelli (38'), Bandinelli (60')
Jun 19, 2020 4.30pm
Spezia
1-0
Empoli
Ragusa (72')
Bartolomei (90+1')

Balkovec (43')
Oct 29, 2019 8pm
Empoli
1-1
Spezia
Frattesi (71')
Dezi (50'), Laribi (89')
Bidaoui (56')
Bartolomei (23'), Ferrer (47'), Capradossi (75'), Terzi (76'), Ricci (84')