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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Carlo Castellani
Torino logo

Empoli
2 - 2
Torino

Luperto (37'), Marin (69')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Ricci (82'), Sanabria (85')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Torino, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Inter Milan 0-1 Empoli
Monday, January 23 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Fiorentina 0-1 Torino
Saturday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 37.75%. A win for Torino had a probability of 34.56% and a draw had a probability of 27.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.03%) and 2-0 (6.9%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (10.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.06%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.

Result
EmpoliDrawTorino
37.75% (0.131 0.13)27.69% (0.045999999999999 0.05)34.56% (-0.181 -0.18)
Both teams to score 48.67% (-0.164 -0.16)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
42.87% (-0.194 -0.19)57.13% (0.19 0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22% (-0.156 -0.16)78% (0.152 0.15)
Empoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.76% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)29.24% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.81% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)65.19% (0.017999999999986 0.02)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.78% (-0.21599999999999 -0.22)31.22% (0.212 0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.44% (-0.249 -0.25)67.56% (0.24600000000001 0.25)
Score Analysis
    Empoli 37.74%
    Torino 34.56%
    Draw 27.68%
EmpoliDrawTorino
1-0 @ 11.22% (0.08 0.08)
2-1 @ 8.03% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.9% (0.045 0.04)
3-1 @ 3.29% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 2.83% (0.017 0.02)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 37.74%
1-1 @ 13.06% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 9.13% (0.066000000000001 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.68%
0-1 @ 10.62% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
1-2 @ 7.61% (-0.036 -0.04)
0-2 @ 6.19% (-0.027 -0.03)
1-3 @ 2.95% (-0.032 -0.03)
0-3 @ 2.4% (-0.025 -0.02)
2-3 @ 1.82% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.98%
Total : 34.56%

How you voted: Empoli vs Torino

Empoli
41.5%
Draw
31.7%
Torino
26.8%
41
Head to Head
Oct 9, 2022 11.30am
May 1, 2022 2pm
Empoli
1-3
Torino
Zurkowski (56')
Pinamonti (19'), Henderson (51'), Andreazzoli (62'), Stojanovic (75')
Verre (59'), Stojanovic (86')
Belotti (78' pen., 87', 90+6')
Vojvoda (18'), Lukic (29'), Juric (30')
Dec 2, 2021 5.30pm
Torino
2-2
Empoli
Pobega (10'), Pjaca (15')
Aina (50'), Juric (54')
Singo (32')
Romagnoli (34'), La Mantia (72')
Bandinelli (45+1'), Marchizza (57'), Luperto (90+4')
May 19, 2019 2pm
Empoli
4-1
Torino
Acquah (27'), Brighi (65'), Di Lorenzo (70'), Caputo (88')
Farlas (71')
Falque (56')
Berenguer (84')
Dec 26, 2018 5pm
Torino
3-0
Empoli
N'Koulou (44'), De Silvestri (49'), Falque (75')
Rincon (19')

Veseli (42'), Silvestre (56'), Di Lorenzo (71')
Krunic (89')