Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Empoli.
Result | ||
Empoli | Draw | Sampdoria |
46.83% ( 0.98) | 26.04% ( 0.22) | 27.13% ( -1.2) |
Both teams to score 50.51% ( -1.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.68% ( -1.55) | 53.32% ( 1.55) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.14% ( -1.33) | 74.86% ( 1.33) |
Empoli Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.25% ( -0.21) | 22.75% ( 0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
43.57% ( -0.31) | 56.43% ( 0.31) |
Sampdoria Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.39% ( -1.76) | 34.61% ( 1.76) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.67% ( -1.91) | 71.33% ( 1.91) |
Score Analysis |
Empoli | Draw | Sampdoria |
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.83% | 1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.03% | 0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.13% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 35 | 28 | 5 | 2 | 81 | 19 | 62 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 35 | 21 | 8 | 6 | 67 | 42 | 25 | 71 |
3 | Juventus | 35 | 18 | 12 | 5 | 48 | 27 | 21 | 66 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 34 | 18 | 6 | 10 | 63 | 38 | 25 | 60 |
6 | Roma | 35 | 17 | 9 | 9 | 62 | 42 | 20 | 60 |
7 | Lazio | 35 | 17 | 5 | 13 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 56 |
8 | Napoli | 35 | 13 | 12 | 10 | 53 | 44 | 9 | 51 |
9 | Fiorentina | 34 | 14 | 8 | 12 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 35 | 11 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 46 | -8 | 45 |
12 | Genoa | 35 | 10 | 13 | 12 | 41 | 43 | -2 | 43 |
13 | Lecce | 35 | 8 | 13 | 14 | 32 | 50 | -18 | 37 |
14 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 35 | 8 | 10 | 17 | 33 | 46 | -13 | 34 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 35 | 7 | 12 | 16 | 37 | 60 | -23 | 33 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 35 | 7 | 11 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 32 |
17 | Empoli | 35 | 8 | 8 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 32 |
18 | Udinese | 35 | 4 | 18 | 13 | 33 | 52 | -19 | 30 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 35 | 7 | 8 | 20 | 41 | 70 | -29 | 29 |
R | Salernitana | 35 | 2 | 9 | 24 | 27 | 75 | -48 | 15 |
> Serie A Full Table |