Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 18

Jan 16, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Carlo Castellani

Empoli
1 - 0
Sampdoria

Ebuehi (55')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Serie A clash between Empoli and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions

Last Game: Lazio 2-2 Empoli
Sunday, January 8 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Sampdoria

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Sampdoria
Thursday, January 12 at 5pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Empoli.

Result
Empoli	Draw	Sampdoria
46.83% ( 0.98)	26.04% ( 0.22)	27.13% ( -1.2)

Both teams to score 50.51% (

-1.5)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

46.68% (

-1.55)

53.32% (

1.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.14% (

-1.33)

74.86% (

1.33)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.25% (

-0.21)

22.75% (

0.2)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.57% (

-0.31)

56.43% (

0.31)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

65.39% (

-1.76)

34.61% (

1.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.67% (

-1.91)

71.33% (

1.91)

Score Analysis

Empoli 46.83%

Sampdoria 27.13%

Draw 26.03%

Empoli	Draw	Sampdoria
1-0 @ 11.65% ( 0.62) 2-1 @ 9.16% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 8.63% ( 0.41) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.26% ( 0.18) 3-2 @ 2.4% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.67% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.58% ( 0.06) Other @ 2.96% Total : 46.83%	1-1 @ 12.36% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 7.87% ( 0.47) 2-2 @ 4.86% ( -0.23) Other @ 0.94% Total : 26.03%	0-1 @ 8.35% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.56% ( -0.27) 0-2 @ 4.43% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.32% ( -0.22) 2-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.17) 0-3 @ 1.57% ( -0.14) Other @ 2.17% Total : 27.13%