Serie A Gameweek 18
Jan 16, 2023 7.45pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani
  • Tyronne Ebuehi 55' goal

Empoli vs Sampdoria - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Empoli

All competitions
Last game
Jan 8, 2023 2.00pm
Lazio 2 - 2 Empoli
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Nicolo Cambiaghi

Sampdoria

All competitions
Last game
Jan 8, 2023 5.00pm
Sampdoria 0 - 2 Napoli
Goals scored
24
Top scorer
Manolo Gabbiadini

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Empoli win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 27.13% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Empoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.16%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 0-1 (8.35%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Empoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Empoli.

Result

Empoli 46.83% (+0.98)
Draw 26.04% (+0.22)
Sampdoria 27.13% (-1.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.51% (-1.50)

Goals

Over 2.5 46.68% (-1.55)
Under 2.5 53.32% (+1.55)
Over 3.5 25.14% (-1.34)
Under 3.5 74.86% (+1.33)

Empoli Goals

Over 0.5 77.25% (-0.21)
Under 0.5 22.75% (+0.21)
Over 1.5 43.57% (-0.31)
Under 1.5 56.43% (+0.31)

Sampdoria Goals

Over 0.5 65.39% (-1.77)
Under 0.5 34.61% (+1.77)
Over 1.5 28.67% (-1.92)
Under 1.5 71.33% (+1.92)

Score analysis

Empoli 46.83%
Draw 26.03%
Sampdoria 27.13%
Empoli
1-0 @ 11.65% (+0.63)
2-1 @ 9.16% (+0.01)
2-0 @ 8.63% (+0.42)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 4.26% (+0.18)
3-2 @ 2.4% (-0.14)
4-1 @ 1.67% (-0.02)
4-0 @ 1.58% (+0.06)
Other @ 2.96%
Total : 46.83%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.36% (+0.09)
0-0 @ 7.87% (+0.47)
2-2 @ 4.86% (-0.24)
Other @ 0.94%
Total : 26.03%
Sampdoria
0-1 @ 8.35% (+0.11)
1-2 @ 6.56% (-0.28)
0-2 @ 4.43% (-0.16)
1-3 @ 2.32% (-0.22)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.18)
0-3 @ 1.57% (-0.14)
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 27.13%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 26
Feb 19, 2022 2.00pm
2
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Fabio Quagliarella 14' goal
  • Fabio Quagliarella 29' goal
  • Bartosz Bereszynski 42' yellowcard
  • Albin Ekdal 45' yellowcard
  • Antonio Candreva 65' yellowcard
  • Andrea Conti 74' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Nedim Bajrami 31'
  • yellowcard Kristjan Asllani 43'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 19, 2021 11.30am
0
3
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Szymon Zurkowski 59' yellowcard
  • Sebastiano Luperto 90'+4' yellowcard
  • goal Francesco Caputo 31'
  • goal Francesco Caputo 52'
  • goal Antonio Candreva 70'
  • yellowcard Kristoffer Askildsen 73'
  • yellowcard Ernesto Torregrossa 88'
Serie A Gameweek 36
May 12, 2019 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris (Genova)
  • Albin Ekdal 30' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Tonelli 74' yellowcard
  • Fabio Quagliarella 90' goal
  • goal Giovanni Di Lorenzo 16'
  • goal Diego Farias 56'
  • yellowcard Giovanni Di Lorenzo 75'
Serie A Gameweek 17
Dec 22, 2018 2.00pm
2
4
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Carlo Castellani (Empoli)
  • Manuel Pasqual 11' goal
  • Afriyie Acquah 33' yellowcard
  • Francesco Caputo 34' yellowcard
  • Francesco Caputo 75' goal
  • Antonino La Gumina 85' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Joachim Andersen 18'
  • goal Gaston Ramirez 41'
  • goal Fabio Quagliarella 69'
  • yellowcard Fabio Quagliarella 71'
  • yellowcard Albin Ekdal 82'
  • goal Gianluca Caprari 87'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Caprari 88'
  • goal Gianluca Caprari 90'
Serie A
Jan 15, 2017 2.00pm
0
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Angelo Palombo 29' yellowcard
  • Pedro Pereira 38' yellowcard
  • Karol Linetty 39' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Uros Cosic 39'
  • yellowcard Assane Diousse 89'
  • yellowcard Levan Mchedlidze 90'
Serie A
Aug 21, 2016 7.45pm
0
1
HT : 0 1
FT
  • Marcel Buchel 77' yellowcard
  • Massimo Maccarone 84' redcard
  • Riccardo Saponara 86' yellowcard
  • goal Luis Muriel 37'
  • yellowcard Karol Linetty 61'
  • yellowcard Edgar Barreto 68'
  • yellowcard Daniel Pavlovic 75'
  • yellowcard Emiliano Viviano 82'