Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 4, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Roma2 - 0Empoli
We said: Roma 1-1 Empoli
Empoli are far from a prolific side but have been hard to beat away from home this season. With that in mind, they should prove stern opposition for top-four chasers Roma, who may have to make do with a single point on Saturday. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 67.97%. A draw had a probability of 20.3% and a win for Empoli had a probability of 11.69%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (14%) and 2-1 (9.22%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.47%), while for a Empoli win it was 0-1 (4.86%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 14% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Roma | Draw | Empoli |
| 67.97% | 20.35% | 11.69% ( 0) |
| Both teams to score 41.36% |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
