Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 20

Jan 29, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio San Paolo, Napoli

Napoli
2 - 1
Roma

Osimhen (17'), Simeone (86')

FT(HT: 1-0)

El Shaarawy (75')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Napoli and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Salernitana 0-2 Napoli
Saturday, January 21 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Spezia 0-2 Roma
Sunday, January 22 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 52%. A draw had a probability of 24.6% and a win for Roma had a probability of 23.43%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.6%) and 2-0 (9.44%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.68%), while for a Roma win it was 0-1 (7.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.

Result
Napoli	Draw	Roma
52% ( -0.12)	24.56% ( 0.09)	23.43% ( 0.02)

Both teams to score 51.52% (

-0.26)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.7% (

-0.36)

50.3% (

0.36)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.75% (

-0.32)

72.25% (

0.32)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.68% (

-0.18)

19.32% (

0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

48.92% (

-0.3)

51.08% (

0.31)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

63.86% (

-0.17)

36.14% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

27.08% (

-0.18)

72.92% (

0.18)

Score Analysis

Napoli 52%

Roma 23.43%

Draw 24.56%

Napoli	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 11.47% ( 0.1) 2-1 @ 9.6% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 9.44% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 5.26% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 2.68% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 2.16% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.1% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.98% Total : 52%	1-1 @ 11.68% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 6.98% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.89% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 0.91% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.1% Total : 24.56%	0-1 @ 7.11% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 5.95% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.62% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 2.02% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.66% ( -0.02) 0-3 @ 1.23% Other @ 1.86% Total : 23.43%