Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 19.23%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.