Coppa Italia | Quarter-Finals

Feb 1, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Olimpico

Roma
1 - 2
Cremonese

Belotti (90+4')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Dessers (28' pen.), Celik (49' og.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coppa Italia clash between Roma and Cremonese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Napoli 2-1 Roma
Sunday, January 29 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Cremonese

All competitions

Coppa Italia

Last Game: Cremonese 1-2 Inter Milan
Saturday, January 28 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 57.78%. A draw had a probability of 23% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 19.23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.55%) and 2-1 (9.82%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.93%), while for a Cremonese win it was 0-1 (6.09%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.1% likelihood.

Result
Roma	Draw	Cremonese
57.78% ( 0.13)	22.99% ( -0.05)	19.23% ( -0.08)

Both teams to score 50.51% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.3% (

0.1)

48.7% (

-0.09)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.19% (

0.09)

70.81% (

-0.09)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

83.42% (

0.08)

16.58% (

-0.08)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

53.62% (

0.14)

46.38% (

-0.14)

Cremonese Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.56% (

-0.03)

39.44% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.86% (

-0.03)

76.14% (

0.03)

Score Analysis

Roma 57.77%

Cremonese 19.23%

Draw 22.98%

Roma	Draw	Cremonese
1-0 @ 11.75% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 10.55% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.82% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 6.32% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 5.88% ( 0.02) 4-0 @ 2.84% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 2.74% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.64% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.23% ( 0.01) 5-0 @ 1.02% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 0.95% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.02% Total : 57.77%	1-1 @ 10.93% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 6.54% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 4.57% ( -0) Other @ 0.94% Total : 22.98%	0-1 @ 6.09% ( -0.03) 1-2 @ 5.09% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 2.83% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.42% ( -0) Other @ 2.24% Total : 19.23%