Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 59.51%. A draw had a probability of 22% and a win for Spezia had a probability of 18.48%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.94%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.39%) and 2-1 (9.92%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.44%), while for a Spezia win it was 0-1 (5.5%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Udinese | Draw | Spezia |
59.51% ( 0.15) | 22.01% ( -0.16) | 18.48% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 52.3% ( 0.53) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.34% ( 0.69) | 45.65% ( -0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.02% ( 0.66) | 67.98% ( -0.66) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
85.04% ( 0.28) | 14.96% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
56.63% ( 0.54) | 43.37% ( -0.54) |
Spezia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.5% ( 0.41) | 38.5% ( -0.41) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.75% ( 0.39) | 75.25% ( -0.39) |
Score Analysis |
Udinese | Draw | Spezia |
1-0 @ 10.94% ( -0.21) 2-0 @ 10.39% ( -0.1) 2-1 @ 9.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 6.58% ( 0) 3-1 @ 6.28% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 3.13% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 3% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 2.99% ( 0.06) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.19% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.13% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.53% Total : 59.51% | 1-1 @ 10.44% ( -0.08) 0-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.17) 2-2 @ 4.74% ( 0.06) 3-3 @ 0.95% ( 0.03) Other @ 0.12% Total : 22% | 0-1 @ 5.5% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 4.98% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 2.62% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 1.59% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.51% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.29% Total : 18.48% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 16 | 12 | 1 | 3 | 39 | 17 | 22 | 37 |
2 | Napoli | 16 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 24 | 11 | 13 | 35 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 16 | 6 | 10 | 0 | 26 | 12 | 14 | 28 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 16 | 6 | 2 | 8 | 19 | 25 | -6 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 14 | 16 | -2 | 19 |
11 | Torino | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 19 |
12 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 15 | 26 | -11 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 16 | 2 | 4 | 10 | 15 | 29 | -14 | 10 |
> Serie A Full Table |