Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Udinese win with a probability of 43.74%. A win for Sampdoria had a probability of 29.98% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Udinese win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.92%) and 0-2 (7.86%). The likeliest Sampdoria win was 1-0 (8.75%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Udinese in this match.
| Result | ||
| Sampdoria | Draw | Udinese |
| 29.98% ( | 26.28% ( | 43.74% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.57% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 47.21% ( | 52.79% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 25.58% ( | 74.42% ( |
| Sampdoria Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 67.85% ( | 32.15% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 31.36% ( | 68.64% ( |
| Udinese Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 76.01% ( | 23.99% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 41.77% ( | 58.24% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Sampdoria | Draw | Udinese |
| 1-0 @ 8.75% ( 2-1 @ 7.09% ( 2-0 @ 4.97% ( 3-1 @ 2.68% ( 3-2 @ 1.91% ( 3-0 @ 1.88% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 29.98% | 1-1 @ 12.49% ( 0-0 @ 7.71% ( 2-2 @ 5.06% ( 3-3 @ 0.91% ( Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.27% | 0-1 @ 11.01% ( 1-2 @ 8.92% ( 0-2 @ 7.86% ( 1-3 @ 4.24% ( 0-3 @ 3.74% ( 2-3 @ 2.41% ( 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0-4 @ 1.34% ( Other @ 2.71% Total : 43.74% |