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Serie A | Gameweek 23
Feb 18, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Udinese logo

Inter Milan
3 - 1
Udinese

Lukaku (20' pen.), Mkhitaryan (73'), Martinez (89')
Lukaku (22'), Darmian (39')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Lovric (43')
Masina (22'), Bijol (47')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Udinese, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Sassuolo
Sunday, February 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Inter Milan 2-0 Udinese

No Serie A side has scored more times during the opening half-hour than Inter this season, while Udinese have often proved sluggish early on; conceding the most goals in the first 15 minutes. That seems like a recipe for defeat as far as the Fruilani are concerned - particularly as they lack the tools to fight back given their forwards' dire form. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 12.95%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
67.39% (1.867 1.87) 19.65% (-0.807 -0.81) 12.95% (-1.062 -1.06)
Both teams to score 47.11% (-0.335 -0.34)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.05% (1.116 1.12)45.95% (-1.12 -1.12)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.74% (1.048 1.05)68.26% (-1.052 -1.05)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.34% (0.884 0.88)12.66% (-0.889 -0.89)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.17% (1.801 1.8)38.82% (-1.805 -1.81)
Udinese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
53.94% (-0.94 -0.94)46.06% (0.937 0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.23% (-0.74 -0.74)81.77% (0.736 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 67.39%
    Udinese 12.95%
    Draw 19.65%
Inter MilanDrawUdinese
2-0 @ 12.45% (0.24 0.24)
1-0 @ 12.05% (-0.16 -0.16)
2-1 @ 9.65% (-0.065 -0.06)
3-0 @ 8.58% (0.442 0.44)
3-1 @ 6.65% (0.175 0.18)
4-0 @ 4.43% (0.366 0.37)
4-1 @ 3.44% (0.201 0.2)
3-2 @ 2.58% (0.00099999999999989 0)
5-0 @ 1.83% (0.207 0.21)
5-1 @ 1.42% (0.127 0.13)
4-2 @ 1.33% (0.044 0.04)
Other @ 2.97%
Total : 67.39%
1-1 @ 9.34% (-0.382 -0.38)
0-0 @ 5.83% (-0.282 -0.28)
2-2 @ 3.74% (-0.125 -0.13)
Other @ 0.74%
Total : 19.65%
0-1 @ 4.52% (-0.345 -0.35)
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.249 -0.25)
0-2 @ 1.75% (-0.184 -0.18)
2-3 @ 0.97% (-0.059 -0.06)
1-3 @ 0.94% (-0.09 -0.09)
Other @ 1.15%
Total : 12.95%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Udinese

Inter Milan
90.5%
Draw
6.0%
Udinese
3.6%
84
Head to Head
Sep 18, 2022 11.30am
Udinese
3-1
Inter Milan
Skriniar (22' og.), Bijol (84'), Arslan (90+3')
Barella (5')
Bastoni (13')
May 1, 2022 5pm
Udinese
1-2
Inter Milan
Pussetto (72')
Mari (40'), Pereyra (65')
Perisic (12'), Martinez (39')
Vecino (90+2')
Oct 31, 2021 11.30am
May 23, 2021 2pm
Inter Milan
5-1
Udinese
Young (8'), Eriksen (44'), Martinez (55' pen.), Perisic (64'), Lukaku (71')
Martinez (26')
Pereyra (79' pen.)
Jan 23, 2021 5pm
Udinese
0-0
Inter Milan

Arslan (10'), Samir (37'), Zeegelaar (78')

Bastoni (66'), Sensi (83')
Conte (90+1')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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