Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 67.39%. A draw had a probability of 19.7% and a win for Udinese had a probability of 12.95%.
The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.05%) and 2-1 (9.65%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.34%), while for a Udinese win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
Inter Milan | Draw | Udinese |
67.39% ( 1.87) | 19.65% ( -0.81) | 12.95% ( -1.06) |
Both teams to score 47.11% ( -0.34) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
54.05% ( 1.12) | 45.95% ( -1.12) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.74% ( 1.05) | 68.26% ( -1.05) |
Inter Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.34% ( 0.88) | 12.66% ( -0.89) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.17% ( 1.8) | 38.82% ( -1.81) |
Udinese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
53.94% ( -0.94) | 46.06% ( 0.94) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
18.23% ( -0.74) | 81.77% ( 0.74) |
Score Analysis |
Inter Milan | Draw | Udinese |
2-0 @ 12.45% ( 0.24) 1-0 @ 12.05% ( -0.16) 2-1 @ 9.65% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 8.58% ( 0.44) 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 0.18) 4-0 @ 4.43% ( 0.37) 4-1 @ 3.44% ( 0.2) 3-2 @ 2.58% ( 0) 5-0 @ 1.83% ( 0.21) 5-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.13) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.97% Total : 67.39% | 1-1 @ 9.34% ( -0.38) 0-0 @ 5.83% ( -0.28) 2-2 @ 3.74% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.74% Total : 19.65% | 0-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.35) 1-2 @ 3.62% ( -0.25) 0-2 @ 1.75% ( -0.18) 2-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 0.94% ( -0.09) Other @ 1.15% Total : 12.95% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 15 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 38 | 17 | 21 | 34 |
2 | Napoli | 15 | 10 | 2 | 3 | 21 | 10 | 11 | 32 |
3 | Inter Milan | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 34 | 15 | 19 | 31 |
4 | Fiorentina | 14 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 28 | 10 | 18 | 31 |
5 | Lazio | 15 | 10 | 1 | 4 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 31 |
6 | Juventus | 15 | 6 | 9 | 0 | 24 | 10 | 14 | 27 |
7 | AC Milan | 14 | 6 | 4 | 4 | 24 | 16 | 8 | 22 |
8 | Bologna | 14 | 5 | 7 | 2 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 22 |
9 | Udinese | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7 | 18 | 22 | -4 | 20 |
10 | Empoli | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 14 | 15 | -1 | 19 |
11 | Roma | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 18 | 21 | -3 | 16 |
12 | Torino | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 16 |
13 | Parma | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 15 |
14 | Genoa | 15 | 3 | 6 | 6 | 13 | 24 | -11 | 15 |
15 | CagliariCagliari | 15 | 3 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 25 | -10 | 14 |
16 | Lecce | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 8 | 26 | -18 | 13 |
17 | Como | 15 | 2 | 6 | 7 | 16 | 28 | -12 | 12 |
18 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 15 | 4 | 0 | 11 | 18 | 37 | -19 | 12 |
19 | Monza | 15 | 1 | 7 | 7 | 13 | 19 | -6 | 10 |
20 | VeneziaVenezia | 15 | 2 | 3 | 10 | 13 | 27 | -14 | 9 |
> Serie A Full Table |