Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 21

Feb 5, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Giuseppe Meazza

Inter Milan
1 - 0
AC Milan

Martinez (34')

FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atalanta
Tuesday, January 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Goals
for

Top scorers

AC Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: AC Milan 2-5 Sassuolo
Sunday, January 29 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 50.53%. A win for AC Milan had a probability of 25.68% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.64%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest AC Milan win was 0-1 (6.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.18%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Inter Milan.

Result
Inter Milan	Draw	AC Milan
50.53% ( -0.28)	23.78% ( 0.08)	25.68% ( 0.2)

Both teams to score 56.41% (

-0.05)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.02% (

-0.17)

44.98% (

0.17)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.67% (

-0.16)

67.33% (

0.16)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.14% (

-0.17)

17.85% (

0.17)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.38% (

-0.29)

48.62% (

0.29)

AC Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

68.67% (

0.07)

31.32% (

-0.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

32.31% (

0.09)

67.68% (

-0.09)

Score Analysis

Inter Milan 50.53%

AC Milan 25.68%

Draw 23.78%

Inter Milan	Draw	AC Milan
1-0 @ 9.64% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.64% ( -0.02) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 5.53% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.77% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.21% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 2.38% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 2.05% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.38% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.63% Total : 50.53%	1-1 @ 11.18% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 5.59% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.59% ( 0) 3-3 @ 1.24% ( -0) Other @ 0.17% Total : 23.78%	0-1 @ 6.49% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 6.49% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 3.77% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 2.51% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.16% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.8% Total : 25.68%