Coppa Italia
Jan 10, 2023 8.00pm
2
1
HT : 0 1
ET Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Lautaro Martinez 88' goal
  • Francesco Acerbi 110' goal
  • goal Stanko Juric 38'

Inter Milan vs Parma - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Parma

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 53.45%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Parma had a probability of 22.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.79%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.75%) and 2-0 (9.34%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.27%), while for a Parma win it was 0-1 (6.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result

Inter Milan 53.45% (-0.32)
Draw 23.74% (+0.06)
Parma 22.8% (+0.26)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.32% (+0.13)

Goals

Over 2.5 52.45% (+0.02)
Under 2.5 47.55% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 30.24% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 69.76% (-0.01)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 82.28% (-0.11)
Under 0.5 17.72% (+0.12)
Over 1.5 51.61% (-0.19)
Under 1.5 48.38% (+0.20)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 64.8% (+0.24)
Under 0.5 35.2% (-0.24)
Over 1.5 28.05% (+0.26)
Under 1.5 71.95% (-0.25)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 53.45%
Draw 23.74%
Parma 22.8%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 10.79% (-0.05)
2-1 @ 9.75% (-0.02)
2-0 @ 9.34% (-0.08)
3-1 @ 5.63% (-0.03)
3-0 @ 5.39% (-0.07)
3-2 @ 2.94% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.43% (-0.03)
4-0 @ 2.33% (-0.04)
4-2 @ 1.27% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.59%
Total : 53.45%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.27% (+0.03)
0-0 @ 6.24% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 5.09% (+0.03)
3-3 @ 1.02% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 23.74%
Parma
0-1 @ 6.51% (+0.04)
1-2 @ 5.88% (+0.06)
0-2 @ 3.4% (+0.05)
1-3 @ 2.05% (+0.04)
2-3 @ 1.77% (+0.03)
0-3 @ 1.18% (+0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 22.8%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 25
Mar 4, 2021 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Hernani 71' goal
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 54'
  • goal Alexis Sanchez 62'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 90'+2'
Serie A Gameweek 6
Oct 31, 2020 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Marcelo Brozovic 64' goal
  • Andrea Ranocchia 67' yellowcard
  • Ivan Perisic 90'+2' goal
  • yellowcard Hernani 23'
  • goal Gervinho 46'
  • goal Gervinho 62'
Serie A Gameweek 28
Jun 28, 2020 8.45pm
1
2
HT : 1 0
FT Ennio Tardini
  • Gervinho 15' goal
  • Kastriot Dermaku 30' yellowcard
  • Juraj Kucka 49' yellowcard
  • Juraj Kucka 85' redcard
  • D'Aversa R. 86' yellowcard
  • Jasmin Kurtic 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Lautaro Martinez 27'
  • yellowcard Roberto Gagliardini 49'
  • redcard Tommaso Berni 69'
  • yellowcard Diego Godin 71'
  • goal Stefan de Vrij 84'
  • goal Alessandro Bastoni 87'
  • yellowcard Victor Moses 90'+3'
Serie A Gameweek 9
Oct 26, 2019 5.00pm
2
2
HT : 1 2
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • Nicolo Barella 13' yellowcard
  • Antonio Candreva 23' goal
  • Antonio Candreva 44' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 55' goal
  • Sebastiano Esposito 81' yellowcard
  • goal Yann Karamoh 26'
  • goal Gervinho 30'
  • yellowcard Luigi Sepe 88'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 90'
Serie A Gameweek 23
Feb 9, 2019 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini (Parma)
  • Riccardo Gagliolo 61' yellowcard
  • Jonathan Biabiany 89' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Matias Vecino 37'
  • goal Lautaro Martinez 79'
  • yellowcard Radja Nainggolan 85'
Serie A Gameweek 4
Sep 15, 2018 2.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza (Milano)
  • Marcelo Brozovic 31' yellowcard
  • Danilo D'Ambrosio 67' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Leo Stulac 24'
  • goal Federico Dimarco 79'
  • yellowcard Federico Dimarco 80'