Serie B Gameweek 14
Nov 26, 2022 2.00pm
1
2
HT : 0 2
FT Stadio Ennio Tardini
  • Franco Vazquez 71' goal
  • goal Diego Falcinelli 18'
  • goal Nicholas Bonfanti 26'

Parma vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 1.00pm
Parma 3 - 1 Cittadella
Goals scored
46
Top scorer
Franco Vazquez

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Nov 12, 2022 1.00pm
Modena 1 - 1 Perugia
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Davide Diaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Modena had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result

Parma 54.71% (+0.05)
Draw 24.04% (-0.02)
Modena 21.26% (-0.04)

Both Teams to Score: 

50.39% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 49.57% (+0.03)
Under 2.5 50.43% (-0.03)
Over 3.5 27.63% (+0.02)
Under 3.5 72.37% (-0.02)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5 81.67% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 18.33% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 50.58% (+0.05)
Under 1.5 49.42% (-0.05)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 61.7% (-0.03)
Under 0.5 38.3% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 24.94% (-0.02)
Under 1.5 75.06% (+0.02)

Score analysis

Parma 54.7%
Draw 24.04%
Modena 21.26%
Parma
1-0 @ 11.91%
2-0 @ 10.1% (+0.01)
2-1 @ 9.7% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 5.72% (+0.01)
3-1 @ 5.49% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.63% (+0.01)
4-0 @ 2.43% (+0.01)
4-1 @ 2.33% (+0.01)
4-2 @ 1.12% (+0.01)
Other @ 3.29%
Total : 54.7%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.43%
0-0 @ 7.02% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.65% (-0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 24.04%
Modena
0-1 @ 6.74% (-0.01)
1-2 @ 5.48% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 3.23% (-0.01)
1-3 @ 1.75% (-0.01)
2-3 @ 1.49% (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.03% (-0.01)
Other @ 1.53%
Total : 21.26%