Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 54.71%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for Modena had a probability of 21.26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.1%) and 2-1 (9.7%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.43%), while for a Modena win it was 0-1 (6.74%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.

Result
Parma	Draw	Modena
54.71% ( 0.04)	24.04% ( -0.01)	21.26% ( -0.03)

Both teams to score 50.39% (

-0)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.57% (

0.02)

50.43% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.63% (

0.02)

72.37% (

-0.02)

Parma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

81.67% (

0.02)

18.33% (

-0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

50.58% (

0.04)

49.42% (

-0.04)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.7% (

-0.02)

38.3% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

24.94% (

-0.02)

75.06% (

0.02)

Score Analysis

Parma 54.7%

Modena 21.26%

Draw 24.04%

Parma	Draw	Modena
1-0 @ 11.91% 2-0 @ 10.1% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.7% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.72% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.49% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.63% ( 0) 4-0 @ 2.43% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 2.33% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.12% ( 0) Other @ 3.29% Total : 54.7%	1-1 @ 11.43% 0-0 @ 7.02% ( -0.01) 2-2 @ 4.65% ( -0) Other @ 0.93% Total : 24.04%	0-1 @ 6.74% ( -0.01) 1-2 @ 5.48% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.23% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.75% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.03% ( -0) Other @ 1.53% Total : 21.26%