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Serie B | Gameweek 11
Oct 29, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini

Parma
1 - 0
Como

Del Prato (38')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and Como.

Form, Standings, Stats

Parma

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Sudtirol 1-0 Parma
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in Serie B

Como

All competitions
Last Game: Como 2-1 Benevento
Saturday, October 22 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 67.93%. A draw had a probability of 19.3% and a win for Como had a probability of 12.82%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (11.58%) and 2-1 (9.68%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.16%), while for a Como win it was 0-1 (4.34%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
ParmaDrawComo
67.93% (-0.154 -0.15)19.26% (0.127 0.13)12.82% (0.029999999999999 0.03)
Both teams to score 48.02% (-0.333 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
55.48% (-0.49 -0.49)44.52% (0.494 0.49)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.11% (-0.476 -0.48)66.89% (0.479 0.48)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.91% (-0.184 -0.18)12.09% (0.187 0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
62.37% (-0.39400000000001 -0.39)37.63% (0.39700000000001 0.4)
Como Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.63% (-0.262 -0.26)45.37% (0.266 0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.77% (-0.21 -0.21)81.23% (0.21299999999999 0.21)
Score Analysis
    Parma 67.92%
    Como 12.82%
    Draw 19.26%
ParmaDrawComo
2-0 @ 12.24% (0.08 0.08)
1-0 @ 11.58% (0.16 0.16)
2-1 @ 9.68% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-0 @ 8.62% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.82% (-0.053999999999999 -0.05)
4-0 @ 4.56% (-0.036 -0.04)
4-1 @ 3.6% (-0.055 -0.05)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.041 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.93% (-0.029 -0.03)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.035 -0.04)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.033 -0.03)
Other @ 3.27%
Total : 67.92%
1-1 @ 9.16% (0.062000000000001 0.06)
0-0 @ 5.49% (0.116 0.12)
2-2 @ 3.82% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 0.79%
Total : 19.26%
0-1 @ 4.34% (0.061 0.06)
1-2 @ 3.62% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-2 @ 1.71% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.01% (-0.016 -0.02)
1-3 @ 0.95% (-0.008 -0.01)
Other @ 1.19%
Total : 12.82%

Head to Head
Apr 6, 2022 1pm
Parma
4-3
Como
Vazquez (31'), Bernabe (77', 81'), Tutino (85')
Bernabe (63'), Larangeira (72'), Tutino (80')
Gliozzi (61', 68', 90+1')
Ioannou (73'), Kabashi (79'), Vignali (81')
Nov 28, 2021 7.30pm
Como
1-1
Parma
Gliozzi (52')
Parigini (14'), Facchin (74')
Inglese (85')
Cobbaut (20'), Balogh (46'), Osorio (64'), Inglese (70')