Serie B | Gameweek 12
Nov 5, 2022 at 3.15pm UK
Stadio Renzo Barbera
Parma logo

Palermo
1 - 0
Parma

Marconi (57')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Palermo and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Modena 0-2 Palermo
Saturday, October 29 at 1pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 1-0 Como
Saturday, October 29 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 40.57%. A win for Palermo had a probability of 32.79% and a draw had a probability of 26.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.57%) and 0-2 (7.21%). The likeliest Palermo win was 1-0 (9.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.66%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood.

Result
PalermoDrawParma
32.79% (-0.645 -0.64)26.63% (-0.092000000000002 -0.09)40.57% (0.736 0.74)
Both teams to score 51.56% (0.122 0.12)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.68% (0.23099999999999 0.23)53.32% (-0.23099999999999 -0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
25.13% (0.194 0.19)74.86% (-0.19600000000001 -0.2)
Palermo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.53% (-0.31 -0.31)30.47% (0.309 0.31)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.32% (-0.369 -0.37)66.68% (0.36699999999999 0.37)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (0.503 0.5)25.84% (-0.503 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.18% (0.674 0.67)60.81% (-0.676 -0.68)
Score Analysis
    Palermo 32.79%
    Parma 40.57%
    Draw 26.63%
PalermoDrawParma
1-0 @ 9.36% (-0.166 -0.17)
2-1 @ 7.53% (-0.089 -0.09)
2-0 @ 5.56% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-1 @ 2.98% (-0.062 -0.06)
3-0 @ 2.2% (-0.078 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 32.79%
1-1 @ 12.66% (-0.039999999999999 -0.04)
0-0 @ 7.87% (-0.072 -0.07)
2-2 @ 5.09% (0.013 0.01)
3-3 @ 0.91% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.1%
Total : 26.63%
0-1 @ 10.65% (0.06 0.06)
1-2 @ 8.57% (0.093999999999999 0.09)
0-2 @ 7.21% (0.14 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.86% (0.097 0.1)
0-3 @ 3.25% (0.108 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.3% (0.038 0.04)
1-4 @ 1.31% (0.051 0.05)
0-4 @ 1.1% (0.052 0.05)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 40.57%

Head to Head
Apr 2, 2018 7.30pm
Parma
3-2
Palermo
Calaio (31', 39' pen., 47')
Lucarelli (67'), Scavone (90')
Nestorovski (52'), Rajkovic (90')
Nestorovski (32'), Pomini (33'), Rispoli (35'), Coronado (64'), Gnahore (71')
Oct 8, 2017 2pm
Palermo
1-1
Parma
La Gumina (10')
Bellusci (33'), Embalo (39'), Murawski (45')
Gagliolo (71')
Gagliolo (21'), Scozzarella (59'), Barilla (82')
Apr 26, 2015 2pm
Parma
1-0
Palermo
Nocerino (22' pen.)
Costa (27'), Feddal (57'), Gobbi (76'), Lila (83')
Nov 30, 2014 2pm
Palermo
2-1
Parma
Dybala (37'), Barreto (73')
Barreto (65'), Vazquez (85')
Barreto (90')
Palladino (40')
Costa (63'), Felipe (77')
Felipe (80')
May 19, 2013 7.45pm
Palermo
1-3
Parma
Miccoli (75')
Donati (78')
Valdes (41'), Belfodil (45'), Gobbi (38')
Belfodil (60'), Galloppa (79')