Serie B Gameweek 13
Modena
Nov 12, 2022 1.00pm
1
1
HT : 1 1
FT Stadio Alberto Braglia
Perugia
  • Luca Tremolada 45' goal
  • goal Samuel Di Carmine 37'

Modena vs Perugia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2022 1.00pm
Cittadella 0 - 0 Modena
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Davide Diaw

Perugia

All competitions
Last game
Nov 5, 2022 3.15pm
Frosinone 1 - 0 Perugia
Goals scored
37
Top scorer
Tiago Casasola

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Modena win with a probability of 47.99%. A win for Perugia had a probability of 26.94% and a draw had a probability of 25.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Modena win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.42%). The likeliest Perugia win was 0-1 (7.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Modena 47.99% ▲ (+0.25)
Draw 25.07% ▼ (-0.06)
Perugia 26.94% ▼ (-0.20)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.33% ▲ (+0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.43% ▲ (+0.09)
Under 2.5 49.56% ▼ (-0.10)
Over 3.5 28.41% ▲ (+0.08)
Under 3.5 71.59% ▼ (-0.08)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 79.31% ▲ (+0.14)
Under 0.5 20.68% ▼ (-0.15)
Over 1.5 46.72% ▲ (+0.22)
Under 1.5 53.27% ▼ (-0.23)

Perugia Goals

Over 0.5 67.23% ▼ (-0.11)
Under 0.5 32.76% ▲ (+0.11)
Over 1.5 30.67% ▼ (-0.12)
Under 1.5 69.32% ▲ (+0.12)

Score analysis

Modena 47.98%
Draw 25.07%
Perugia 26.94%
Modena
1-0 @ 10.67%
2-1 @ 9.39% ▲ (+0.02)
2-0 @ 8.42% ▲ (+0.05)
3-1 @ 4.93% ▲ (+0.04)
3-0 @ 4.42% ▲ (+0.05)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.01)
4-1 @ 1.94% ▲ (+0.03)
4-0 @ 1.74% ▲ (+0.03)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 47.98%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.91% ▼ (-0.03)
0-0 @ 6.78% ▼ (-0.03)
2-2 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.02%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.07%
Perugia
0-1 @ 7.56% ▼ (-0.05)
1-2 @ 6.65% ▼ (-0.04)
0-2 @ 4.22% ▼ (-0.04)
1-3 @ 2.47% ▼ (-0.03)
2-3 @ 1.95% ▼ (-0.01)
0-3 @ 1.57% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 26.94%

Form Data

Cittadella 0 - 0 Modena
Modena 0 - 2 Palermo
Pisa 4 - 2 Modena
Cremonese 4 - 2 Modena
Modena 5 - 1 Como
Ascoli 1 - 2 Modena
Frosinone 1 - 0 Perugia
Perugia 0 - 2 Cittadella
Reggina 2 - 3 Perugia
Perugia 1 - 2 Sudtirol
Como 1 - 0 Perugia
Perugia 1 - 3 Pisa