Parma logo
Serie B | Gameweek 18
Dec 18, 2022 at 1pm UK
Stadio Ennio Tardini
SPAL logo

Parma
0 - 1
SPAL

FT(HT: 0-1)
Rabbi (19')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Parma and SPAL.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brescia 0-2 Parma
Monday, December 12 at 7.30pm in Serie B
Last Game: SPAL 1-1 Palermo
Sunday, December 11 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 55.3%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 20.93%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.12%) and 2-1 (9.74%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.3%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (6.55%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 6.6% likelihood.

Result
ParmaDrawSPAL
55.3% (-0.046999999999997 -0.05)23.76% (0.045999999999999 0.05)20.93% (0.0040000000000013 0)
Both teams to score 50.77% (-0.133 -0.13)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
50.31% (-0.179 -0.18)49.69% (0.182 0.18)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
28.29% (-0.162 -0.16)71.7% (0.16499999999999 0.16)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.17% (-0.081999999999994 -0.08)17.83% (0.085000000000001 0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
51.43% (-0.145 -0.14)48.57% (0.148 0.15)
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.79% (-0.097999999999999 -0.1)38.21% (0.10100000000001 0.1)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.03% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)74.97% (0.097999999999999 0.1)
Score Analysis
    Parma 55.29%
    SPAL 20.93%
    Draw 23.76%
ParmaDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 11.74% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-0 @ 10.12% (0.02 0.02)
2-1 @ 9.74% (-0.0080000000000009 -0.01)
3-0 @ 5.82% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
3-1 @ 5.6% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-2 @ 2.69% (-0.018 -0.02)
4-0 @ 2.51% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
4-1 @ 2.42% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.16% (-0.01 -0.01)
Other @ 3.48%
Total : 55.29%
1-1 @ 11.3% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-0 @ 6.81% (0.05 0.05)
2-2 @ 4.69% (-0.016999999999999 -0.02)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 23.76%
0-1 @ 6.55% (0.031 0.03)
1-2 @ 5.44% (-0.0040000000000004 -0)
0-2 @ 3.15% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
1-3 @ 1.74% (-0.006 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5% (-0.01 -0.01)
0-3 @ 1.01% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 1.54%
Total : 20.93%

Head to Head
Feb 26, 2022 1.05pm
Parma
4-0
SPAL
Tutino (27'), Bernabe (33'), Vazquez (62'), Benedyczak (68')
Coulibaly (53'), Simy (59')

Celia (30'), Da Riva (51')
Oct 2, 2021 5.30pm
SPAL
2-2
Parma
Viviani (82'), Colombo (90+1')
Viviani (34'), Tripaldelli (41'), Latte Lath (61'), Esposito (90+3')
Tutino (27'), Vazquez (68')
Coulibaly (57'), Schiattarella (72'), Sohm (90+5')
Vazquez (90+3')
Mar 8, 2020 12.45pm
Parma
0-1
SPAL

Brugman (62'), Gagliolo (90')
Petagna (71' pen.)
Felipe (39'), Castro (90')
Oct 5, 2019 2pm
SPAL
1-0
Parma
Petagna (31')
Espeto (17'), Petagna (45'), Kurtic (89'), Sala (90')
Espeto (70')

Hernani (45'), Gagliolo (82')
Jan 27, 2019 2pm
Parma
2-3
SPAL
Inglese (11' pen., 53')
Kucka (7'), Scozzarella (36')
Valoti (70'), Petagna (75'), Fares (87')
Fares (34'), Lazzari (57'), Petagna (76'), Felipe (90')