Serie B Gameweek 15
SPAL
Dec 4, 2022 11.30am
2
3
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Paolo Mazza
Modena
  • Gabriele Moncini 58' goal
  • Gabriele Moncini 90'+7' goal
  • goal Andrea La Mantia 45'+1' (OG)
  • goal Diego Falcinelli 72'
  • goal Davide Marsura 90'+6'

SPAL vs Modena - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

SPAL

All competitions
Last game
Nov 27, 2022 2.00pm
Brescia 2 - 0 SPAL
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Gabriele Moncini

Modena

All competitions
Last game
Nov 26, 2022 2.00pm
Parma 1 - 2 Modena
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Davide Diaw

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a SPAL win with a probability of 47.31%. A win for Modena had a probability of 27.54% and a draw had a probability of 25.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a SPAL win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.34%) and 2-0 (8.26%). The likeliest Modena win was 0-1 (7.65%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.

Result

SPAL 47.31% ▼ (-0.55)
Draw 25.15% ▲ (+0.20)
Modena 27.54% ▲ (+0.37)

Both Teams to Score: 

53.55% ▼ (-0.33)

Goals

Over 2.5 50.5% ▼ (-0.56)
Under 2.5 49.5% ▲ (+0.57)
Over 3.5 28.47% ▼ (-0.51)
Under 3.5 71.53% ▲ (+0.52)

SPAL Goals

Over 0.5 79.06% ▼ (-0.46)
Under 0.5 20.95% ▲ (+0.47)
Over 1.5 46.31% ▼ (-0.73)
Under 1.5 53.69% ▲ (+0.74)

Modena Goals

Over 0.5 67.74% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 0.5 32.27% ▲ (+0.02)
Over 1.5 31.24% ▼ (-0.02)
Under 1.5 68.77% ▲ (+0.03)

Score analysis

SPAL 47.31%
Draw 25.15%
Modena 27.54%
SPAL
1-0 @ 10.56% ▲ (+0.09)
2-1 @ 9.34% ▼ (-0.06)
2-0 @ 8.26% ▼ (-0.05)
3-1 @ 4.87% ▼ (-0.10)
3-0 @ 4.3% ▼ (-0.09)
3-2 @ 2.75% ▼ (-0.06)
4-1 @ 1.9% ▼ (-0.07)
4-0 @ 1.68% ▼ (-0.06)
4-2 @ 1.08% ▼ (-0.04)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 47.31%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.95% ▲ (+0.10)
0-0 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.16)
2-2 @ 5.28% ▼ (-0.04)
3-3 @ 1.04% ▼ (-0.03)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.15%
Modena
0-1 @ 7.65% ▲ (+0.18)
1-2 @ 6.76% ▲ (+0.06)
0-2 @ 4.32% ▲ (+0.10)
1-3 @ 2.55% ▲ (+0.02)
2-3 @ 1.99% ▼ (-0.02)
0-3 @ 1.63% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 2.64%
Total : 27.54%

Form Data

Brescia 2 - 0 SPAL
SPAL 1 - 2 Benevento
Ternana 0 - 0 SPAL
SPAL 1 - 1 Sudtirol
SPAL 5 - 0 Cosenza
Genoa 1 - 0 SPAL
Parma 1 - 2 Modena
Modena 1 - 1 Perugia
Cittadella 0 - 0 Modena
Modena 0 - 2 Palermo
Pisa 4 - 2 Modena
Cremonese 4 - 2 Modena