Brescia logo
Serie B | Gameweek 14
Nov 27, 2022 at 2pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
SPAL logo

Brescia
2 - 0
SPAL

Aye (14'), Mangraviti (41')
FT(HT: 2-0)
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and SPAL.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brescia

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Ternana 0-0 Brescia
Saturday, November 12 at 3.15pm in Serie B

SPAL

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: SPAL 1-2 Benevento
Saturday, November 12 at 1pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 50.85%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for SPAL had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.49%) and 2-0 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a SPAL win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 9.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.

Result
BresciaDrawSPAL
50.85% (0.021999999999998 0.02)25.05% (-0.013000000000002 -0.01)24.1% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Both teams to score 50.77% (0.033000000000001 0.03)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.34% (0.047000000000004 0.05)51.66% (-0.043999999999997 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.56% (0.041 0.04)73.44% (-0.037999999999997 -0.04)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
79.68% (0.028999999999996 0.03)20.32% (-0.026 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
47.3% (0.045000000000002 0.05)52.7% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
63.72% (0.020000000000003 0.02)36.28% (-0.016999999999996 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
26.94% (0.02 0.02)73.06% (-0.016000000000005 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 50.84%
    SPAL 24.1%
    Draw 25.05%
BresciaDrawSPAL
1-0 @ 11.74% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-1 @ 9.49% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 9.36% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
3-1 @ 5.04% (0.0050000000000008 0.01)
3-0 @ 4.97% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.004 0)
4-1 @ 2.01% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-0 @ 1.98% (0.0030000000000001 0)
4-2 @ 1.02% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.67%
Total : 50.84%
1-1 @ 11.91%
0-0 @ 7.37% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 4.81% (0.0039999999999996 0)
Other @ 0.96%
Total : 25.05%
0-1 @ 7.47% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
1-2 @ 6.04%
0-2 @ 3.79% (-0.0029999999999997 -0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.63% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.28%
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 24.1%

How you voted: Brescia vs SPAL

Brescia
71.4%
Draw
14.3%
SPAL
14.3%
7
Head to Head
Apr 25, 2022 5pm
Brescia
1-1
SPAL
Tramoni (84')
Leris (59'), Adorni (63'), Tramoni (68')
Latte Lath (90+4')
Da Riva (32'), Finotto (39'), Celia (49'), Mancosu (74')
Dec 11, 2021 1pm
SPAL
0-2
Brescia

Dickmann (4')
Tramoni (48'), Bisoli (72')
Leris (44'), van de Looi (82')
May 1, 2021 1pm
Brescia
3-1
SPAL
Bjarnason (27'), Aye (63'), Jagiello (79')
Bjarnason (19'), Cistana (76')
Espeto (65')
Segre (61')
Dec 30, 2020 5pm
SPAL
2-3
Brescia
Valoti (7', 57')
Marino (35'), Vicari (48'), Ranieri (90+3')
Jagiello (56'), Donnarumma (70' pen.), Bjarnason (87')
Labojko (61')
Jul 19, 2020 6.30pm
Brescia
2-1
SPAL