/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fbrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fspallog.png)
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Birkir Bjarnason
19'
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Birkir Bjarnason
27'
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Florian Aye
63'
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Andrea Cistana
76'
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Filip Jagiello
79'
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Jacopo Segre
61'
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Espeto
65'
Brescia vs SPAL - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brescia win with a probability of 43.25%. A win for SPAL had a probability of 31% and a draw had a probability of 25.8%.
The most likely scoreline for a Brescia win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 2-0 (7.47%). The likeliest SPAL win was 0-1 (8.36%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.24%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brescia would win this match.
Result
Brescia
43.25%
Draw
25.76%
SPAL
31%
Both Teams to Score:
53.69%
Goals
Over 2.5
49.73%
Under 2.5
50.27%
Over 3.5
27.78%
Under 3.5
72.22%
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5
76.87%
Under 0.5
23.13%
Over 1.5
43.01%
Under 1.5
57%
SPAL Goals
Over 0.5
69.85%
Under 0.5
30.15%
Over 1.5
33.7%
Under 1.5
66.3%
Score analysis
Brescia
43.24%
Draw
25.76%
SPAL
31%
Brescia
1-0
@
10.2%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 43.24%
2-1 @ 8.96%
2-0 @ 7.47%
3-1 @ 4.37%
3-0 @ 3.65%
3-2 @ 2.62%
4-1 @ 1.6%
4-0 @ 1.34%
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 43.24%
Draw
1-1
@
12.24%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.76%
0-0 @ 6.97%
2-2 @ 5.37%
3-3 @ 1.05%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 25.76%
SPAL
0-1
@
8.36%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 2%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31%
1-2 @ 7.34%
0-2 @ 5.01%
1-3 @ 2.93%
2-3 @ 2.15%
0-3 @ 2%
Other @ 3.2%
Total : 31%