Brescia logo
Serie B | Gameweek 17
Dec 12, 2022 at 7.30pm UK
Stadio Mario Rigamonti
Parma logo

Brescia
0 - 2
Parma

FT(HT: 0-1)
Man (16'), Bonny (90+5')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Brescia and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Cosenza 1-1 Brescia
Thursday, December 8 at 2pm in Serie B
Last Game: Parma 0-1 Benevento
Thursday, December 8 at 11.30am in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Parma win with a probability of 36.48%. A win for Brescia had a probability of 36.3% and a draw had a probability of 27.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Parma win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.47%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (7.97%) and 0-2 (6.47%). The likeliest Brescia win was 1-0 (10.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.9%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Parma would win this match.

Result
BresciaDrawParma
36.3% (-0.59 -0.59)27.21% (0.107 0.11)36.48% (0.484 0.48)
Both teams to score 50.24% (-0.332 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
44.78% (-0.419 -0.42)55.22% (0.418 0.42)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
23.55% (-0.346 -0.35)76.45% (0.346 0.35)
Brescia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.82% (-0.56 -0.56)29.18% (0.56 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.88% (-0.694 -0.69)65.11% (0.696 0.7)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.93% (0.090000000000003 0.09)29.07% (-0.09 -0.09)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.02% (0.112 0.11)64.98% (-0.11200000000001 -0.11)
Score Analysis
    Brescia 36.3%
    Parma 36.47%
    Draw 27.21%
BresciaDrawParma
1-0 @ 10.44% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 7.95% (-0.098999999999999 -0.1)
2-0 @ 6.43% (-0.097 -0.1)
3-1 @ 3.26% (-0.093 -0.09)
3-0 @ 2.64% (-0.082 -0.08)
3-2 @ 2.02% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-1 @ 1.01% (-0.045 -0.05)
Other @ 2.54%
Total : 36.3%
1-1 @ 12.9% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
0-0 @ 8.48% (0.137 0.14)
2-2 @ 4.91% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 0.92%
Total : 27.21%
0-1 @ 10.47% (0.19 0.19)
1-2 @ 7.97% (0.045 0.04)
0-2 @ 6.47% (0.136 0.14)
1-3 @ 3.28% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 2.67% (0.063 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.02% (-0.015 -0.01)
1-4 @ 1.01% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.57%
Total : 36.47%

How you voted: Brescia vs Parma

Brescia
43.8%
Draw
37.5%
Parma
18.8%
16
Head to Head
Apr 11, 2022 7.30pm
Brescia
1-0
Parma
Moreo (64')
Leris (32')

Bernabe (90'), Brunetta (90+1'), Larangeira (90+2')
Dec 1, 2021 5pm
Parma
0-1
Brescia

Vazquez (78')
Cistana (7')
van de Looi (28'), Pajac (56'), Moreo (76'), Joronen (90+3')
Jul 25, 2020 4.15pm
Brescia
1-2
Parma
Dessena (62')
Torregrossa (20'), Dessena (29'), Mateju (45'), Papetti (90+2')
Darmian (59'), Kulusevski (81')
Dec 22, 2019 2pm
Parma
1-1
Brescia
Grassi (92')
Gagliolo (69'), Hernani (69'), Grassi (93')
Balotelli (72')
Cistana (28'), Mateju (75')
Corini (93')
Feb 3, 2018 2pm
Brescia
2-1
Parma
Torregrossa (38', 64')
Tonali (60'), Gastaldello (62'), Somma (76')
Ceravolo (58')
Vacca (29'), Gazzola (73'), da Cruz (83')