Cagliari logo
Serie B | Gameweek 15
Dec 3, 2022 at 5pm UK
Sardegna Arena
Parma logo

Cagliari
1 - 1
Parma

Pavoletti (54')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Camara (44')
Coverage of the Serie B clash between Cagliari and Parma.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cagliari

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Frosinone 2-2 Cagliari
Sunday, November 27 at 2pm in Serie B

Parma

All competitions
Serie B
Last Game: Parma 1-2 Modena
Saturday, November 26 at 2pm in Serie B

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cagliari win with a probability of 36.98%. A win for Parma had a probability of 35.39% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cagliari win was 1-0 with a probability of 11%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.95%) and 2-0 (6.71%). The likeliest Parma win was 0-1 (10.7%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.05%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.1% likelihood.

Result
CagliariDrawParma
36.98% (1.07 1.07)27.62% (0.154 0.15)35.39% (-1.223 -1.22)
Both teams to score 48.93% (-0.489 -0.49)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
43.16% (-0.6 -0.6)56.84% (0.599 0.6)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
22.23% (-0.484 -0.48)77.77% (0.483 0.48)
Cagliari Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.44% (0.36199999999999 0.36)29.56% (-0.363 -0.36)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.42% (0.44 0.44)65.58% (-0.441 -0.44)
Parma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.46% (-1.059 -1.06)30.54% (1.057 1.06)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.23% (-1.272 -1.27)66.77% (1.272 1.27)
Score Analysis
    Cagliari 36.98%
    Parma 35.39%
    Draw 27.62%
CagliariDrawParma
1-0 @ 11% (0.36 0.36)
2-1 @ 7.95% (0.109 0.11)
2-0 @ 6.71% (0.283 0.28)
3-1 @ 3.23% (0.077 0.08)
3-0 @ 2.73% (0.142 0.14)
3-2 @ 1.92% (-0.011 -0.01)
4-1 @ 0.99% (0.033 0.03)
Other @ 2.46%
Total : 36.98%
1-1 @ 13.05% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
0-0 @ 9.03% (0.206 0.21)
2-2 @ 4.72% (-0.073 -0.07)
Other @ 0.83%
Total : 27.62%
0-1 @ 10.7% (-0.07 -0.07)
1-2 @ 7.74% (-0.2 -0.2)
0-2 @ 6.35% (-0.23 -0.23)
1-3 @ 3.06% (-0.172 -0.17)
0-3 @ 2.51% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-3 @ 1.87% (-0.085 -0.09)
1-4 @ 0.91% (-0.08 -0.08)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 35.39%

How you voted: Cagliari vs Parma

Cagliari
53.8%
Draw
15.4%
Parma
30.8%
13
Head to Head
Apr 17, 2021 7.45pm
Cagliari
4-3
Parma
Pavoletti (39'), Marin (66'), Pereiro (90+1'), Cerri (90+4')
Marin (30'), Duncan (46'), Nandez (80'), Nainggolan (83')
Pezzella (5'), Kucka (31'), Man (59')
Pezzella (24'), Kurtic (58')
Dec 16, 2020 7.45pm
Parma
0-0
Cagliari

Cornelius (90+3')

Oliva (25')
Feb 1, 2020 5pm
Cagliari
2-2
Parma
Pedro (19'), Simeone (54')
Cigarini (69'), Nandez (77'), Nainggolan (87')
Kucka (42'), Cornelius (90')
Darmian (34'), Gagliolo (52')
Sep 15, 2019 2pm
Parma
1-3
Cagliari
Barilla (58')
Ceppitelli (23', 39'), Simeone (77')
Ceppitelli (16'), Pedro (42'), Nandez (56'), Pellegrini (62'), Castro (86')
Feb 16, 2019 5pm
Cagliari
2-1
Parma
Pavoletti (65', 85')
Cigarini (36'), Deiola (52'), Pavoletti (78'), Pedro (90')
Pedro (90')
Kucka (40')
Bastoni (46')