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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Milan logo

Lazio
4 - 0
AC Milan

Milinkovic-Savic (4'), Zaccagni (38'), Alberto (67' pen.), Anderson (75')
Milinkovic-Savic (33')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Bennacer (26'), Kjaer (54')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Serie A clash between Lazio and AC Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lazio 1-0 Bologna
Thursday, January 19 at 5pm in Coppa Italia
Last Game: AC Milan 0-3 Inter Milan
Wednesday, January 18 at 7pm in Supercoppa Italiana

We said: Lazio 1-2 AC Milan

With both managers intent on controlling possession and playing offensive styles, this should be an entertaining clash between two of Italy's biggest clubs. However, Immobile's injury could prove pivotal in terms of influencing the result, with Milan always a potent threat in transition on the road. As such, we can envisage an important away win for Pioli's side. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 41.37%. A win for Lazio had a probability of 33.33% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.

The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.2%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (6.79%). The likeliest Lazio win was 1-0 (8.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.95%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 0.7% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawAC Milan
33.33% (1.331 1.33) 25.3% (0.046000000000003 0.05) 41.37% (-1.38 -1.38)
Both teams to score 56.11% (0.302 0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.46% (0.184 0.18)47.53% (-0.187 -0.19)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.26% (0.172 0.17)69.74% (-0.17399999999999 -0.17)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.73% (0.934 0.93)27.27% (-0.936 -0.94)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.29% (1.198 1.2)62.7% (-1.199 -1.2)
AC Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.14% (-0.586 -0.59)22.85% (0.584 0.58)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.41% (-0.87200000000001 -0.87)56.59% (0.871 0.87)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 33.33%
    AC Milan 41.37%
    Draw 25.29%
LazioDrawAC Milan
1-0 @ 8.1% (0.148 0.15)
2-1 @ 7.77% (0.21 0.21)
2-0 @ 5.26% (0.231 0.23)
3-1 @ 3.36% (0.176 0.18)
3-2 @ 2.48% (0.089 0.09)
3-0 @ 2.28% (0.156 0.16)
4-1 @ 1.09% (0.084 0.08)
Other @ 2.99%
Total : 33.33%
1-1 @ 11.95% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-0 @ 6.23% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
2-2 @ 5.73% (0.056 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.22% (0.022 0.02)
Other @ 0.16%
Total : 25.29%
0-1 @ 9.2% (-0.235 -0.23)
1-2 @ 8.82% (-0.146 -0.15)
0-2 @ 6.79% (-0.295 -0.3)
1-3 @ 4.34% (-0.149 -0.15)
0-3 @ 3.34% (-0.207 -0.21)
2-3 @ 2.82% (-0.021 -0.02)
1-4 @ 1.6% (-0.084 -0.08)
0-4 @ 1.23% (-0.1 -0.1)
2-4 @ 1.04% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 2.18%
Total : 41.37%

How you voted: Lazio vs AC Milan

Lazio
19.5%
Draw
18.1%
AC Milan
62.4%
226
Head to Head
Apr 24, 2022 7.45pm
Lazio
1-2
AC Milan
Immobile (4')
Strakosha (8'), Leiva (53'), Cataldi (74')
Giroud (50'), Tonali (90+2')
Tomori (26'), Kalulu (83'), Ibrahimovic (85'), Tonali (90+4')
Feb 9, 2022 8pm
Quarter-Finals
AC Milan
4-0
Lazio
Leao (24'), Giroud (41', 45+1'), Kessie (79')
Tonali (22')

Felipe (15')
Sep 12, 2021 5pm
AC Milan
2-0
Lazio
Leao (45'), Ibrahimovic (67')
Bakayoko (63')

Marusic (17'), Reina (45+5'), Alberto (45+7'), Hysaj (57')
Sarri (90+5')
Apr 26, 2021 7.45pm
Dec 23, 2020 7.45pm
AC Milan
3-2
Lazio
Rebic (10'), Calhanoglu (17' pen.), Hernandez (90+2')
Krunic (41'), Pioli (44'), Hernandez (78')
Alberto (28'), Immobile (59')
Inzaghi (27'), Escalante (39'), Alberto (64'), Akpa-Akpro (80'), Muriqi (88')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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