Champions League
Feb 22, 2023 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Romelu Lukaku 86' goal

Inter Milan vs Porto - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Result
Team News
Match Preview
Predicted Lineups

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions

Porto

All competitions

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 41.23%. A win for Porto had a probability of 31.38% and a draw had a probability of 27.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.47%) and 2-0 (7.66%). The likeliest Porto win was 0-1 (9.89%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.93%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 11.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result

Inter Milan 41.23% (+0.47)
Draw 27.39% (+0.01)
Porto 31.38% (-0.47)

Both Teams to Score: 

48.82% (-0.17)

Goals

Over 2.5 43.4% (-0.14)
Under 2.5 56.6% (+0.14)
Over 3.5 22.42% (-0.11)
Under 3.5 77.58% (+0.11)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 72.99% (+0.20)
Under 0.5 27.01% (-0.20)
Over 1.5 37.63% (+0.25)
Under 1.5 62.37% (-0.25)

Porto Goals

Over 0.5 66.88% (-0.41)
Under 0.5 33.11% (+0.40)
Over 1.5 30.28% (-0.45)
Under 1.5 69.71% (+0.45)

Score analysis

Inter Milan 41.22%
Draw 27.38%
Porto 31.38%
Inter Milan
1-0 @ 11.7% (+0.12)
2-1 @ 8.47% (+0.05)
2-0 @ 7.66% (+0.13)
3-1 @ 3.7% (+0.04)
3-0 @ 3.34% (+0.07)
3-2 @ 2.04% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 1.21% (+0.02)
4-0 @ 1.09% (+0.03)
Other @ 2%
Total : 41.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 12.93% (-0.01)
0-0 @ 8.94% (+0.05)
2-2 @ 4.68% (-0.03)
Other @ 0.82%
Total : 27.38%
Porto
0-1 @ 9.89% (-0.06)
1-2 @ 7.15% (-0.09)
0-2 @ 5.46% (-0.10)
1-3 @ 2.63% (-0.06)
0-3 @ 2.01% (-0.06)
2-3 @ 1.72% (-0.03)
Other @ 2.52%
Total : 31.38%

Build-up

Predicted Lineups