Serie A Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 5.00pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
  • Henrikh Mkhitaryan 29' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 53' goal

Inter Milan vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Inter Milan

All competitions
Last game
Feb 26, 2023 11.30am
Bologna 1 - 0 Inter Milan
Goals scored
71
Top scorer
Lautaro Martinez

Lecce

All competitions
Last game
Feb 25, 2023 7.45pm
Lecce 0 - 1 Sassuolo
Goals scored
33
Top scorer
Gabriel Espeto

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.84%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result

Inter Milan 71.52% (-0.03)
Draw 18.21% (+0.02)
Lecce 10.27% (+0.01)

Both Teams to Score: 

43.11% (-0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5 53.45% (-0.03)
Under 2.5 46.55% (+0.03)
Over 3.5 31.18% (-0.03)
Under 3.5 68.82% (+0.03)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5 88.32% (-0.02)
Under 0.5 11.68% (+0.02)
Over 1.5 63.23% (-0.03)
Under 1.5 36.77% (+0.03)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5 48.81% (-0.01)
Under 0.5 51.19% (+0.01)
Over 1.5 14.53%
Under 1.5 85.47%

Score analysis

Inter Milan 71.51%
Draw 18.21%
Lecce 10.27%
Inter Milan
2-0 @ 13.78%
1-0 @ 12.84% (+0.01)
3-0 @ 9.87% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 9.23%
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.01)
4-0 @ 5.3% (-0.01)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.01)
5-0 @ 2.27% (-0.01)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.01)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.01)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.01)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 71.51%
Draw
1-1 @ 8.6% (+0.01)
0-0 @ 5.98% (+0.01)
2-2 @ 3.09% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.21%
Lecce
0-1 @ 4.01% (+0.01)
1-2 @ 2.88% (+0.01)
0-2 @ 1.34% (+0.01)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 10.27%

Head to Head

Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
  • Federico Baschirotto 32' yellowcard
  • Assan Ceesay 48' goal
  • Alexis Blin 82' yellowcard
  • Lorenzo Colombo 87' yellowcard
  • Morten Hjulmand 90'+5' yellowcard
  • goal Romelu Lukaku 2'
  • yellowcard Marcelo Brozovic 55'
  • yellowcard Matteo Darmian 63'
  • goal Denzel Dumfries 90'+4'
Serie A Gameweek 20
Jan 19, 2020 2.00pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT Stadio Comunale Via del Mare (Lecce)
  • Giulio Donati 21' yellowcard
  • Marco Mancosu 77' goal
  • Biagio Meccariello 93' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Antonio Candreva 32'
  • goal Alessandro Bastoni 72'
  • yellowcard Borja Valero 88'
Serie A Gameweek 1
Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
4
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Marcelo Brozovic 21' goal
  • Stefano Sensi 24' goal
  • Lautaro Martinez 40' yellowcard
  • Romelu Lukaku 60' goal
  • Antonio Candreva 84' goal
  • yellowcard Jacopo Petriccione 38'
  • yellowcard Gianluca Lapadula 52'
  • redcard Diego Farias 76'