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Serie A | Gameweek 25
Mar 5, 2023 at 5pm UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
Lecce logo

Inter Milan
2 - 0
Lecce

Mkhitaryan (29'), Martinez (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Inter Milan and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 0-1 Sassuolo
Saturday, February 25 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 71.52%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 10.27%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.84%) and 3-0 (9.87%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.6%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.01%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Inter Milan in this match.

Result
Inter MilanDrawLecce
71.52% (-0.02000000000001 -0.02)18.21% (0.010999999999999 0.01)10.27% (0.0090000000000003 0.01)
Both teams to score 43.11% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
53.45% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)46.55% (0.021999999999998 0.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.18% (-0.022000000000002 -0.02)68.82% (0.021000000000001 0.02)
Inter Milan Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
88.32% (-0.012 -0.01)11.68% (0.010999999999999 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
63.23% (-0.026000000000003 -0.03)36.77% (0.025000000000006 0.03)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
48.81% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)51.19% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
14.53%85.47%
Score Analysis
    Inter Milan 71.51%
    Lecce 10.27%
    Draw 18.21%
Inter MilanDrawLecce
2-0 @ 13.78%
1-0 @ 12.84% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
3-0 @ 9.87% (-0.0039999999999996 -0)
2-1 @ 9.23%
3-1 @ 6.61% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
4-0 @ 5.3% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
4-1 @ 3.55% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
5-0 @ 2.27% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.21% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
5-1 @ 1.52% (-0.002 -0)
4-2 @ 1.19% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 3.16%
Total : 71.51%
1-1 @ 8.6% (0.0040000000000013 0)
0-0 @ 5.98% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
2-2 @ 3.09% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.54%
Total : 18.21%
0-1 @ 4.01% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-2 @ 2.88% (0.0020000000000002 0)
0-2 @ 1.34% (0.00099999999999989 0)
Other @ 2.05%
Total : 10.27%

How you voted: Inter Milan vs Lecce

Inter Milan
87.0%
Draw
6.5%
Lecce
6.5%
77
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 7.45pm
Lecce
1-2
Inter Milan
Ceesay (48')
Baschirotto (32'), Blin (82'), Colombo (87'), Hjulmand (90+5')
Lukaku (2'), Dumfries (90+4')
Brozovic (55'), Darmian (63')
Jan 19, 2020 2pm
Lecce
1-1
Inter Milan
Mancosu (77')
Donati (21'), Meccariello (93')
Bastoni (72')
Candreva (32'), Valero (88')
Aug 26, 2019 7.45pm
Inter Milan
4-0
Lecce
Brozovic (21'), Sensi (24'), Lukaku (60'), Candreva (84')
Martinez (40')

Petriccione (38'), Lapadula (52')
Farias (76')
rhs 2.0


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