Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 22

Feb 11, 2023 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
1 - 1
Roma

Ibanez (7' og.)

FT(HT: 1-1)

Dybala (17' pen.)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Roma, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Cremonese 0-2 Lecce
Saturday, February 4 at 2pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Roma

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Roma 2-0 Empoli
Saturday, February 4 at 5pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 44.94%. A win for Lecce had a probability of 28.18% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.86%) and 0-2 (8.48%). The likeliest Lecce win was 1-0 (9.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.7%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Roma
28.18% ( -0.03)	26.88%	44.94% ( 0.03)

Both teams to score 48.75% (

-0.02)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.05% (

-0.02)

55.95% (

0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

22.95% (

-0.01)

77.05% (

0.01)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

64.82% (

-0.03)

35.18% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

28.06% (

-0.03)

71.93% (

0.04)

Roma Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.2% (

0.01)

24.8% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.62% (

0.01)

59.37% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Lecce 28.18%

Roma 44.93%

Draw 26.87%

Lecce	Draw	Roma
1-0 @ 9.11% ( -0) 2-1 @ 6.64% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 4.76% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.31% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 1.61% ( -0) Other @ 2.08% Total : 28.18%	1-1 @ 12.7% 0-0 @ 8.72% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0) Other @ 0.82% Total : 26.87%	0-1 @ 12.16% ( 0.01) 1-2 @ 8.86% ( 0) 0-2 @ 8.48% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.12% ( 0) 0-3 @ 3.94% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.15% ( -0) 1-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.37% ( 0) Other @ 2.41% Total : 44.93%