/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fcrelog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F41%2Fleclog.png)
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Federico Baschirotto
58'
-
Gabriel Espeto
69'
Cremonese vs Lecce - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
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Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
Result
Cremonese
36.66%
▼
(-1.09)
Draw
26.32%
▼
(-0.02)
Lecce
37.02%
▲
(+1.12)
Both Teams to Score:
53.16%
▲
(+0.11)
Goals
Over 2.5
48.46%
▲
(+0.12)
Under 2.5
51.54%
▼
(-0.12)
Over 3.5
26.66%
▲
(+0.11)
Under 3.5
73.34%
▼
(-0.10)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5
72.81%
▼
(-0.57)
Under 0.5
27.19%
▲
(+0.58)
Over 1.5
37.4%
▼
(-0.75)
Under 1.5
62.6%
▲
(+0.76)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5
73.01%
▲
(+0.71)
Under 0.5
26.99%
▼
(-0.71)
Over 1.5
37.66%
▲
(+0.92)
Under 1.5
62.34%
▼
(-0.92)
Score analysis
Cremonese
36.66%
Draw
26.31%
Lecce
37.02%
Cremonese
1-0
@
9.56%
▼
(-0.20)
2-1 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.66%
2-1 @ 8.15% ▼ (-0.14)
2-0 @ 6.22% ▼ (-0.24)
3-1 @ 3.54% ▼ (-0.12)
3-0 @ 2.7% ▼ (-0.15)
3-2 @ 2.32% ▼ (-0.04)
4-1 @ 1.15% ▼ (-0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.66%
Draw
1-1
@
12.51%
▼
(-0.01)
0-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
0-0 @ 7.34% ▼ (-0.04)
2-2 @ 5.34% ▲ (+0.02)
3-3 @ 1.01% ▲ (+0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
Lecce
0-1
@
9.61%
▲
(+0.15)
1-2 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.22)
1-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37.02%
1-2 @ 8.2% ▲ (+0.16)
0-2 @ 6.3% ▲ (+0.22)
1-3 @ 3.58% ▲ (+0.14)
0-3 @ 2.75% ▲ (+0.15)
2-3 @ 2.33% ▲ (+0.06)
1-4 @ 1.17% ▲ (+0.07)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37.02%
