Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.
Result | ||
Cremonese | Draw | Lecce |
36.66% ( -1.09) | 26.32% ( -0.02) | 37.02% ( 1.11) |
Both teams to score 53.16% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.46% ( 0.12) | 51.54% ( -0.11) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.66% ( 0.1) | 73.34% ( -0.1) |
Cremonese Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.81% ( -0.57) | 27.19% ( 0.57) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.4% ( -0.75) | 62.6% ( 0.75) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
73.01% ( 0.71) | 26.99% ( -0.7) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.66% ( 0.91) | 62.34% ( -0.91) |
Score Analysis |
Cremonese | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 9.56% ( -0.2) 2-1 @ 8.15% ( -0.14) 2-0 @ 6.22% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.12) 3-0 @ 2.7% ( -0.15) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.15% ( -0.06) Other @ 3.03% Total : 36.66% | 1-1 @ 12.51% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 7.34% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.34% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.12% Total : 26.31% | 0-1 @ 9.61% ( 0.15) 1-2 @ 8.2% ( 0.15) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( 0.22) 1-3 @ 3.58% ( 0.14) 0-3 @ 2.75% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.33% ( 0.05) 1-4 @ 1.17% ( 0.07) Other @ 3.08% Total : 37.02% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 34 | 28 | 5 | 1 | 81 | 18 | 63 | 89 |
2 | AC Milan | 34 | 21 | 7 | 6 | 64 | 39 | 25 | 70 |
3 | Juventus | 34 | 18 | 11 | 5 | 47 | 26 | 21 | 65 |
4 | Bologna | 35 | 17 | 13 | 5 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 64 |
5 | Roma | 34 | 17 | 8 | 9 | 61 | 41 | 20 | 59 |
6 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 33 | 17 | 6 | 10 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 57 |
7 | Lazio | 34 | 17 | 4 | 13 | 43 | 35 | 8 | 55 |
8 | Fiorentina | 33 | 14 | 8 | 11 | 50 | 37 | 13 | 50 |
9 | Napoli | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 43 | 9 | 50 |
10 | Torino | 35 | 11 | 14 | 10 | 31 | 31 | 0 | 47 |
11 | Monza | 34 | 11 | 11 | 12 | 36 | 44 | -8 | 44 |
12 | Genoa | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 38 | 40 | -2 | 42 |
13 | Lecce | 34 | 8 | 12 | 14 | 31 | 49 | -18 | 36 |
14 | CagliariCagliari | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 36 | 59 | -23 | 32 |
15 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 31 | 45 | -14 | 31 |
16 | FrosinoneFrosinone | 34 | 7 | 10 | 17 | 43 | 63 | -20 | 31 |
17 | Empoli | 34 | 8 | 7 | 19 | 26 | 50 | -24 | 31 |
18 | Udinese | 34 | 4 | 17 | 13 | 32 | 51 | -19 | 29 |
19 | SassuoloSassuolo | 34 | 6 | 8 | 20 | 40 | 70 | -30 | 26 |
R | Salernitana | 34 | 2 | 9 | 23 | 26 | 73 | -47 | 15 |
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