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Serie A

Cremonese
Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 4, 2023 at 2pm UK
Stadio Giovanni Zini
Lecce logo

Cremonese
0 - 2
Lecce

FT(HT: 0-0)
Baschirotto (58'), Espeto (69')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Cremonese and Lecce, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Cremonese

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Roma 1-2 Cremonese
Wednesday, February 1 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Lecce

All competitions
Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Salernitana
Friday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 37.02%. A win for Cremonese had a probability of 36.66% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.61%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.2%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest Cremonese win was 1-0 (9.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.51%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Lecce would win this match.

Result
CremoneseDrawLecce
36.66% (-1.085 -1.09)26.32% (-0.02 -0.02)37.02% (1.112 1.11)
Both teams to score 53.16% (0.101 0.1)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (0.117 0.12)51.54% (-0.113 -0.11)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.66% (0.103 0.1)73.34% (-0.099000000000004 -0.1)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.81% (-0.569 -0.57)27.19% (0.572 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.4% (-0.747 -0.75)62.6% (0.752 0.75)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.01% (0.706 0.71)26.99% (-0.702 -0.7)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.66% (0.915 0.91)62.34% (-0.912 -0.91)
Score Analysis
    Cremonese 36.66%
    Lecce 37.02%
    Draw 26.31%
CremoneseDrawLecce
1-0 @ 9.56% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-1 @ 8.15% (-0.14 -0.14)
2-0 @ 6.22% (-0.233 -0.23)
3-1 @ 3.54% (-0.119 -0.12)
3-0 @ 2.7% (-0.147 -0.15)
3-2 @ 2.32% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.15% (-0.058 -0.06)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 36.66%
1-1 @ 12.51% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 7.34% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.34% (0.015 0.01)
3-3 @ 1.01% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.31%
0-1 @ 9.61% (0.146 0.15)
1-2 @ 8.2% (0.154 0.15)
0-2 @ 6.3% (0.218 0.22)
1-3 @ 3.58% (0.137 0.14)
0-3 @ 2.75% (0.147 0.15)
2-3 @ 2.33% (0.052 0.05)
1-4 @ 1.17% (0.067 0.07)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 37.02%

How you voted: Cremonese vs Lecce

Cremonese
33.3%
Draw
33.3%
Lecce
33.3%
36
Head to Head
Oct 2, 2022 2pm
Lecce
1-1
Cremonese
Espeto (42' pen.)
Falcone (18')
Ciofani (19' pen.)
Jan 23, 2022 5.30pm
Lecce
2-1
Cremonese
Gallo (14'), Okoli (90+1' og.)
Espeto (6'), Dermaku (52'), Lucioni (58')
Ciofani (15')
Valeri (11'), Valzania (21'), Strizzolo (90+4')
Aug 22, 2021 7.30pm
Cremonese
3-0
Lecce
Valzania (51'), Buonaiuto (60'), Valeri (65')
Valeri (31'), Castagnetti (39'), Ravanelli (83')

Espeto (39')
Feb 13, 2021 1pm
Cremonese
1-2
Lecce
Gaetano (7')
Ravanelli (29')
Ravanelli (90+2')
Castagnetti (30' og.), Rodriguez (54')
Hjulmand (52'), Lucioni (60'), Nikolov (81')
Oct 21, 2020 6pm
Lecce
2-2
Cremonese
Dermaku (47'), Coda (64')
Gaetano (30'), Valzania (34')
Terranova (12'), Strizzolo (45'), Fiordaliso (54'), Gustafson (58'), Castagnetti (90')