Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 24

Feb 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 1
Sassuolo

FT(HT: 0-0)

Thorstvedt (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Lecce
Sunday, February 19 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Napoli
Friday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Sassuolo
43.54% ( -0.26)	25.37% ( 0.08)	31.08% ( 0.17)

Both teams to score 54.99% (

-0.2)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

51.39% (

-0.29)

48.61% (

0.29)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

29.27% (

-0.27)

70.72% (

0.27)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.72% (

-0.25)

22.27% (

0.25)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

44.27% (

-0.37)

55.72% (

0.37)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

70.74% (

-0.03)

29.25% (

0.03)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

34.79% (

-0.04)

65.21% (

0.04)

Score Analysis

Lecce 43.54%

Sassuolo 31.08%

Draw 25.37%

Lecce	Draw	Sassuolo
1-0 @ 9.78% ( 0.05) 2-1 @ 9.03% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 7.35% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.05) 3-0 @ 3.68% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 2.78% ( -0.03) 4-1 @ 1.7% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 4-2 @ 1.04% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.28% Total : 43.54%	1-1 @ 12.02% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 6.52% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 5.55% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 1.14% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.14% Total : 25.37%	0-1 @ 8.01% ( 0.09) 1-2 @ 7.39% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 4.92% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 3.03% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.28% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( 0) Other @ 2.51% Total : 31.08%