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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Sassuolo logo

Lecce
0 - 1
Sassuolo


Banda (17'), Baschirotto (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thorstvedt (65')
Berardi (22'), Obiang (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Lecce
Sunday, February 19 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Napoli
Friday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Sassuolo

Lecce have scored in all but one game at Via del Mare this season, so there is a likelihood the Salentini find the back of the net against a side that have not kept an away clean sheet since September. Five of the home side's 11 games in Puglia have ended 1-1, and another low-scoring tie could be in the offing this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSassuolo
43.54% (-0.259 -0.26) 25.37% (0.081 0.08) 31.08% (0.175 0.17)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (-0.293 -0.29)48.61% (0.29199999999999 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.27% (-0.268 -0.27)70.72% (0.26700000000001 0.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (-0.24600000000001 -0.25)22.27% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)55.72% (0.368 0.37)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)29.25% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)65.21% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 43.54%
    Sassuolo 31.08%
    Draw 25.37%
LecceDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Lecce vs Sassuolo

Lecce
43.8%
Draw
32.9%
Sassuolo
23.3%
73
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
Sassuolo
1-0
Lecce
Berardi (40')
Henrique (37'), Berardi (55'), Rogerio (66'), Frattesi (77'), Toljan (90+4')

Gonzalez (68')
Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 3, 2019 2pm
Lecce
2-2
Sassuolo
Lapadula (18'), Falco (42')
Calderoni (60'), Shakhov (74')
Toljan (35'), Berardi (85')
Locatelli (37'), Toljan (45'), Obiang (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan36295286196792
2AC Milan36228672432974
3Bologna361813551272467
4Juventus351812548272166
5Atalanta BCAtalanta341861063382560
6Roma35179962422060
7Lazio361851347371059
8Napoli361312115346751
9Fiorentina341481251391250
10Torino361214103332150
11Genoa361113124344-146
12Monza351112123846-845
13Lecce35813143250-1837
14Hellas VeronaHellas Verona36810183448-1434
15CagliariCagliari36712173865-2733
16FrosinoneFrosinone36711184368-2532
17Empoli3688202652-2632
18Udinese35418133352-1930
19SassuoloSassuolo3678214272-3029
RSalernitana3529242775-4815


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