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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Sassuolo logo

Lecce
0 - 1
Sassuolo

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Lecce 1-2 Parma
Sunday, January 11 at 11.30am in Serie A
Next Game: Inter Milan vs. Lecce
Wednesday, January 14 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-1 Parma
Saturday, January 3 at 2pm in Serie A
Next Game: Napoli vs. Sassuolo
Saturday, January 17 at 5pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSassuolo
43.54% (-0.259 -0.26)25.37% (0.081 0.08)31.08% (0.175 0.17)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (-0.293 -0.29)48.61% (0.29199999999999 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.27% (-0.268 -0.27)70.72% (0.26700000000001 0.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (-0.24600000000001 -0.25)22.27% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)55.72% (0.368 0.37)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)29.25% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)65.21% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 43.54%
    Sassuolo 31.08%
    Draw 25.37%
LecceDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Lecce vs Sassuolo

Lecce
43.8%
Draw
32.9%
Sassuolo
23.3%
73
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
gameweek 2
Sassuolo
1-0
Lecce
Berardi (40')
Henrique (37'), Berardi (55'), Rogerio (66'), Frattesi (77'), Toljan (90+4')

Gonzalez (68')
Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm
gameweek 30
Sassuolo
4-2
Lecce
Caputo (5'), Berardi (63' pen.), Boga (78'), Muldur (83')
Caputo (32'), Duricic (49'), Santos (54')
Lucioni (27'), Mancosu (67' pen.)
Babacar (22'), Petriccione (34'), Paz (63'), Tachtsidis (90')
Nov 3, 2019 2pm
gameweek 11
Lecce
2-2
Sassuolo
Lapadula (18'), Falco (42')
Calderoni (60'), Shakhov (74')
Toljan (35'), Berardi (85')
Locatelli (37'), Toljan (45'), Obiang (82')
rhs 2.0


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