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Serie A | Gameweek 24
Feb 25, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Comunale Via del Mare
Sassuolo logo

Lecce
0 - 1
Sassuolo


Banda (17'), Baschirotto (74')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Thorstvedt (65')
Berardi (22'), Obiang (35')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Sassuolo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Atalanta 1-2 Lecce
Sunday, February 19 at 11.30am in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 0-2 Napoli
Friday, February 17 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lecce 1-1 Sassuolo

Lecce have scored in all but one game at Via del Mare this season, so there is a likelihood the Salentini find the back of the net against a side that have not kept an away clean sheet since September. Five of the home side's 11 games in Puglia have ended 1-1, and another low-scoring tie could be in the offing this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 43.54%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 31.08% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.03%) and 2-0 (7.35%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 0-1 (8.01%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 8% likelihood.

Result
LecceDrawSassuolo
43.54% (-0.259 -0.26) 25.37% (0.081 0.08) 31.08% (0.175 0.17)
Both teams to score 54.99% (-0.198 -0.2)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
51.39% (-0.293 -0.29)48.61% (0.29199999999999 0.29)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
29.27% (-0.268 -0.27)70.72% (0.26700000000001 0.27)
Lecce Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.72% (-0.24600000000001 -0.25)22.27% (0.245 0.25)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.27% (-0.36799999999999 -0.37)55.72% (0.368 0.37)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.74% (-0.031000000000006 -0.03)29.25% (0.031000000000002 0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.79% (-0.039000000000001 -0.04)65.21% (0.037999999999997 0.04)
Score Analysis
    Lecce 43.54%
    Sassuolo 31.08%
    Draw 25.37%
LecceDrawSassuolo
1-0 @ 9.78% (0.046000000000001 0.05)
2-1 @ 9.03% (-0.030999999999999 -0.03)
2-0 @ 7.35% (-0.018999999999999 -0.02)
3-1 @ 4.52% (-0.049 -0.05)
3-0 @ 3.68% (-0.036 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.78% (-0.032 -0.03)
4-1 @ 1.7% (-0.031 -0.03)
4-0 @ 1.38% (-0.024 -0.02)
4-2 @ 1.04% (-0.02 -0.02)
Other @ 2.28%
Total : 43.54%
1-1 @ 12.02% (0.039999999999999 0.04)
0-0 @ 6.52% (0.077999999999999 0.08)
2-2 @ 5.55% (-0.024 -0.02)
3-3 @ 1.14% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 25.37%
0-1 @ 8.01% (0.090000000000001 0.09)
1-2 @ 7.39% (0.023 0.02)
0-2 @ 4.92% (0.051 0.05)
1-3 @ 3.03% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
2-3 @ 2.28% (-0.011 -0.01)
0-3 @ 2.02% (0.019 0.02)
1-4 @ 0.93% (0.001 0)
Other @ 2.51%
Total : 31.08%

How you voted: Lecce vs Sassuolo

Lecce
43.8%
Draw
32.9%
Sassuolo
23.3%
73
Head to Head
Aug 20, 2022 7.45pm
Sassuolo
1-0
Lecce
Berardi (40')
Henrique (37'), Berardi (55'), Rogerio (66'), Frattesi (77'), Toljan (90+4')

Gonzalez (68')
Jul 4, 2020 6.30pm
Nov 3, 2019 2pm
Lecce
2-2
Sassuolo
Lapadula (18'), Falco (42')
Calderoni (60'), Shakhov (74')
Toljan (35'), Berardi (85')
Locatelli (37'), Toljan (45'), Obiang (82')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta16121339172237
2Napoli16112324111335
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1594228111731
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus16610026121428
7Bologna156722118325
8AC Milan156542416823
9Udinese166281925-620
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma164481823-516
13Genoa163761324-1116
14Lecce164481027-1716
15Parma163672328-515
16Como163671828-1015
17Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1650112139-1815
18CagliariCagliari163581526-1114
19Monza161781421-710
20VeneziaVenezia1624101529-1410


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