Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 23

Feb 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK

MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore

Sassuolo
0 - 2
Napoli

FT(HT: 0-2)

Kvaratskhelia (12'), Osimhen (33')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions

Last Game: Udinese 2-2 Sassuolo
Sunday, February 12 at 11.30am in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Napoli

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Napoli 3-0 Cremonese
Sunday, February 12 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 71.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.7% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 11.71%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-2 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.48%) and 0-1 (8.83%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.79%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 2-1 (3.44%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 10.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-2 win for Napoli in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Napoli.

Result
Sassuolo	Draw	Napoli
11.71% ( -1.96)	16.75% ( -1.15)	71.55% ( 3.11)

Both teams to score 53.47% (

-1.96)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

64.38% (

0.47)

35.62% (

-0.47)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

42.32% (

0.52)

57.68% (

-0.52)

Sassuolo Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

58.61% (

-2.72)

41.39% (

2.71)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.1% (

-2.48)

77.9% (

2.48)

Napoli Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

91.23% (

0.84)

8.77% (

-0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

69.89% (

30.11% (

-2)

Score Analysis

Sassuolo 11.71%

Napoli 71.54%

Draw 16.75%

Sassuolo	Draw	Napoli
2-1 @ 3.44% ( -0.49) 1-0 @ 3.2% ( -0.33) 2-0 @ 1.41% ( -0.26) 3-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.23) 3-1 @ 1.01% ( -0.23) Other @ 1.42% Total : 11.71%	1-1 @ 7.79% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 4.18% ( -0.42) 0-0 @ 3.63% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1% ( -0.14) Other @ 0.15% Total : 16.75%	0-2 @ 10.75% ( 0.56) 1-2 @ 9.48% ( -0.2) 0-1 @ 8.83% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 8.72% ( 0.76) 1-3 @ 7.69% ( 0.13) 0-4 @ 5.31% ( 0.64) 1-4 @ 4.68% ( 0.25) 2-3 @ 3.39% ( -0.2) 0-5 @ 2.58% ( 0.4) 1-5 @ 2.28% ( 0.2) 2-4 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 0-6 @ 1.05% ( 0.2) 2-5 @ 1.01% ( 0.02) 1-6 @ 0.93% ( 0.11) Other @ 2.77% Total : 71.54%