/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F19%2F06%2Fnaplog.png)
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F22%2F27%2Fcrelog.png)
-
Khvicha Kvaratskhelia
21'
-
Victor Osimhen
65'
-
Eljif Elmas
79'
Napoli vs Cremonese - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings
The match
Match Preview
/https%3A%2F%2Fsportsmole-media-prod.s3.gra.io.cloud.ovh.net%2F23%2F02%2Fnapoli.jpg)
Form, Standings, Stats
Data analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 75.72%. A draw had a probability of 14.8% and a win for Cremonese had a probability of 9.51%.
The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.73%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-0 (9.45%) and 2-1 (9.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.83%), while for a Cremonese win it was 1-2 (2.87%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Napoli would win this match.
Result
Napoli
75.72%
▼
(-0.35)
Draw
14.77%
▲
(+0.14)
Cremonese
9.51%
▲
(+0.22)
Both Teams to Score:
52.76%
▲
(+0.42)
Goals
Over 2.5
67.55%
▲
(+0.08)
Under 2.5
32.45%
▼
(-0.08)
Over 3.5
45.91%
▲
(+0.09)
Under 3.5
54.09%
▼
(-0.09)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5
92.87%
▼
(-0.06)
Under 0.5
7.13%
▲
(+0.06)
Over 1.5
74.03%
▼
(-0.14)
Under 1.5
25.96%
▲
(+0.14)
Cremonese Goals
Over 0.5
56.81%
▲
(+0.49)
Under 0.5
43.18%
▼
(-0.49)
Over 1.5
20.55%
▲
(+0.41)
Under 1.5
79.44%
▼
(-0.41)
Score analysis
Napoli
75.71%
Draw
14.77%
Cremonese
9.51%
Napoli
2-0
@
10.73%
▼
(-0.10)
3-0 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.04)
6-1 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 75.71%
3-0 @ 9.45% ▼ (-0.12)
2-1 @ 9.02% ▲ (+0.04)
1-0 @ 8.13% ▼ (-0.06)
3-1 @ 7.94% ▲ (+0.01)
4-0 @ 6.24% ▼ (-0.10)
4-1 @ 5.24% ▼ (-0.01)
3-2 @ 3.33% ▲ (+0.05)
5-0 @ 3.3% ▼ (-0.06)
5-1 @ 2.77% ▼ (-0.02)
4-2 @ 2.2% ▲ (+0.03)
6-0 @ 1.45% ▼ (-0.04)
6-1 @ 1.22% ▼ (-0.01)
5-2 @ 1.16% ▲ (+0.02)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 75.71%
Draw
1-1
@
6.83%
▲
(+0.05)
2-2 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 14.77%
2-2 @ 3.79% ▲ (+0.07)
0-0 @ 3.08% ▼ (-0.02)
Other @ 1.07%
Total : 14.77%
Cremonese
1-2
@
2.87%
▲
(+0.06)
0-1 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 9.51%
0-1 @ 2.59% ▲ (+0.03)
0-2 @ 1.09% ▲ (+0.03)
2-3 @ 1.06% ▲ (+0.04)
Other @ 1.91%
Total : 9.51%