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Serie A

Sassuolo logo
Serie A | Gameweek 21
Feb 4, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
MAPEI Stadium - Città del Tricolore
Atalanta logo

Sassuolo
1 - 0
Atalanta

Lauriente (55')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Sassuolo and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Sassuolo

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: AC Milan 2-5 Sassuolo
Sunday, January 29 at 11.30am in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atalanta
Tuesday, January 31 at 8pm in Coppa Italia

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 52.1%. A win for Sassuolo had a probability of 25.47% and a draw had a probability of 22.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.08%) and 0-2 (7.64%). The likeliest Sassuolo win was 2-1 (6.44%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.19%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.4% likelihood.

Result
SassuoloDrawAtalanta BC
25.47% (1.397 1.4)22.43% (-0.087999999999997 -0.09)52.1% (-1.313 -1.31)
Both teams to score 60.88% (1.896 1.9)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
61.03% (1.801 1.8)38.97% (-1.804 -1.8)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.71% (1.869 1.87)61.29% (-1.872 -1.87)
Sassuolo Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.7% (2.073 2.07)28.3% (-2.076 -2.08)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.98% (2.542 2.54)64.02% (-2.545 -2.55)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.91% (0.193 0.19)15.09% (-0.196 -0.2)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.36% (0.368 0.37)43.64% (-0.372 -0.37)
Score Analysis
    Sassuolo 25.47%
    Atalanta BC 52.1%
    Draw 22.43%
SassuoloDrawAtalanta BC
2-1 @ 6.44% (0.243 0.24)
1-0 @ 5.39% (-0.142 -0.14)
2-0 @ 3.4% (0.106 0.11)
3-1 @ 2.71% (0.249 0.25)
3-2 @ 2.56% (0.251 0.25)
3-0 @ 1.43% (0.122 0.12)
Other @ 3.54%
Total : 25.47%
1-1 @ 10.19% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 6.09% (0.27 0.27)
0-0 @ 4.27% (-0.373 -0.37)
3-3 @ 1.61% (0.168 0.17)
Other @ 0.27%
Total : 22.43%
1-2 @ 9.64% (-0.119 -0.12)
0-1 @ 8.08% (-0.645 -0.65)
0-2 @ 7.64% (-0.553 -0.55)
1-3 @ 6.08% (-0.032999999999999 -0.03)
0-3 @ 4.81% (-0.314 -0.31)
2-3 @ 3.84% (0.195 0.2)
1-4 @ 2.87% (0.004 0)
0-4 @ 2.28% (-0.131 -0.13)
2-4 @ 1.81% (0.104 0.1)
1-5 @ 1.09% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 3.98%
Total : 52.1%

How you voted: Sassuolo vs Atalanta

Sassuolo
13.8%
Draw
12.6%
Atalanta BC
73.6%
87
Head to Head
Oct 15, 2022 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Sassuolo
Pasalic (45+1'), Lookman (46')
Scalvini (16')
Kiriakopoulos (41')
Apr 10, 2022 2pm
Sassuolo
2-1
Atalanta
Traore (24', 61')
Henrique (39'), Muldur (63')
Muriel (90+3')
Zappacosta (90+2')
Sep 21, 2021 7.45pm
Atalanta
2-1
Sassuolo
Gosens (3'), Zappacosta (37')
Malinovskyi (61'), Pezzella (74')
Berardi (44')
Marco Ferrari (25'), Lopez (90+1')
May 2, 2021 2pm
Sassuolo
1-1
Atalanta
Berardi (52' pen.)
Santos (28'), Chiriches (35'), Locatelli (40'), Obiang (45+1'), Marco Ferrari (53')
Santos (75')
Gosens (32')
Djimsiti (78')
Gollini (23')
Jan 3, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
5-1
Sassuolo
Zapata (11', 49'), Pessina (45'), Gosens (57'), Muriel (68')
Hateboer (25'), Romero (44'), de Roon (80')
Chiriches (75')
Chiriches (51')