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Serie A

Atalanta logo
Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Sampdoria logo

Atalanta
2 - 0
Sampdoria

Maehle (42'), Lookman (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Juventus 3-3 Atalanta
Sunday, January 22 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Sampdoria

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Udinese
Sunday, January 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSampdoria
72.55% (0.046999999999997 0.05)16.83% (-0.026 -0.03)10.61% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (0.036999999999999 0.04)39.27% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.39% (0.042000000000002 0.04)61.6% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)9.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.23% (0.049999999999997 0.05)31.77% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.78% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)81.55% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 72.55%
    Sampdoria 10.61%
    Draw 16.83%
Atalanta BCDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.04%
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 5.58% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89%
5-0 @ 2.63% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 72.55%
1-1 @ 7.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 16.83%
0-1 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 10.61%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sampdoria

Atalanta BC
83.1%
Draw
14.5%
Sampdoria
2.4%
83
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta

Ferrari (1'), Verre (73'), Quagliarella (81'), Sabiri (81')
Toloi (26'), Lookman (90+4')
Okoli (19'), Pasalic (45'), Musso (80'), de Roon (84'), Zortea (88'), Hateboer (90+2')
Feb 28, 2022 7.50pm
Atalanta
4-0
Sampdoria
Pasalic (6'), Koopmeiners (29', 61'), Miranchuk (86')
Toloi (77')

Ekdal (48'), Thorsby (66')
Oct 27, 2021 5.30pm
Sampdoria
1-3
Atalanta
Caputo (10')
Thorsby (26'), Askildsen (29'), Colley (36'), Chabot (90+1')
Askildsen (17' og.), Zapata (21'), Ilicic (90+5')
Luis Palomino (14'), Ilicic (64'), Freuler (90+3')
Feb 28, 2021 11.30am
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta

Ekdal (63')
Malinovskyi (40'), Gosens (70')
Freuler (10'), Toloi (47'), de Roon (81')
Oct 24, 2020 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Sampdoria
Zapata (80' pen.)
Mojica (44'), Malinovskiy (66'), Luis Palomino (86')
Quagliarella (13'), Thorsby (59'), Jankto (90+1')
Tonelli (31'), Yoshida (47'), Balde (69'), Jankto (71')