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Serie A | Gameweek 20
Jan 28, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Gewiss Stadium
Sampdoria logo

Atalanta
2 - 0
Sampdoria

Maehle (42'), Lookman (57')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Malagrida (86'), Leris (88')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Atalanta BC and Sampdoria, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Sampdoria 0-1 Udinese
Sunday, January 22 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Atalanta BC 2-1 Sampdoria

Having apparently reverted to the Atalanta of old, the hosts should have few difficulties in picking their way through Samp's porous defence, but could also get caught on the counter themselves. Though not always as comfortable at home as on the road, La Dea's hot streak will continue with another win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 72.55%. A draw had a probability of 16.8% and a win for Sampdoria had a probability of 10.61%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 12.04%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.21%) and 3-0 (9.46%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (7.98%), while for a Sampdoria win it was 0-1 (3.38%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 2-0 win for Atalanta BC in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Atalanta BC.

Result
Atalanta BCDrawSampdoria
72.55% (0.046999999999997 0.05) 16.83% (-0.026 -0.03) 10.61% (-0.027999999999999 -0.03)
Both teams to score 49.09% (-0.0079999999999956 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.72% (0.036999999999999 0.04)39.27% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
38.39% (0.042000000000002 0.04)61.6% (-0.045999999999999 -0.05)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
90.54% (0.019999999999996 0.02)9.46% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
68.23% (0.049999999999997 0.05)31.77% (-0.054000000000002 -0.05)
Sampdoria Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
54.22% (-0.024000000000001 -0.02)45.78% (0.019999999999996 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
18.45% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)81.55% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Atalanta BC 72.55%
    Sampdoria 10.61%
    Draw 16.83%
Atalanta BCDrawSampdoria
2-0 @ 12.04%
1-0 @ 10.21% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
3-0 @ 9.46% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-1 @ 9.41% (-0.0050000000000008 -0.01)
3-1 @ 7.4% (0.0039999999999996 0)
4-0 @ 5.58% (0.012 0.01)
4-1 @ 4.36% (0.0069999999999997 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.89%
5-0 @ 2.63% (0.0079999999999996 0.01)
5-1 @ 2.06% (0.0049999999999999 0)
4-2 @ 1.7% (0.002 0)
6-0 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 3.78%
Total : 72.55%
1-1 @ 7.98% (-0.012 -0.01)
0-0 @ 4.33% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
2-2 @ 3.68% (-0.004 -0)
Other @ 0.85%
Total : 16.83%
0-1 @ 3.38% (-0.0089999999999999 -0.01)
1-2 @ 3.12% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
0-2 @ 1.32% (-0.004 -0)
2-3 @ 0.96% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 1.83%
Total : 10.61%

How you voted: Atalanta vs Sampdoria

Atalanta BC
83.1%
Draw
14.5%
Sampdoria
2.4%
83
Head to Head
Aug 13, 2022 5.30pm
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta

Ferrari (1'), Verre (73'), Quagliarella (81'), Sabiri (81')
Toloi (26'), Lookman (90+4')
Okoli (19'), Pasalic (45'), Musso (80'), de Roon (84'), Zortea (88'), Hateboer (90+2')
Feb 28, 2022 7.50pm
Atalanta
4-0
Sampdoria
Pasalic (6'), Koopmeiners (29', 61'), Miranchuk (86')
Toloi (77')

Ekdal (48'), Thorsby (66')
Oct 27, 2021 5.30pm
Sampdoria
1-3
Atalanta
Caputo (10')
Thorsby (26'), Askildsen (29'), Colley (36'), Chabot (90+1')
Askildsen (17' og.), Zapata (21'), Ilicic (90+5')
Luis Palomino (14'), Ilicic (64'), Freuler (90+3')
Feb 28, 2021 11.30am
Sampdoria
0-2
Atalanta

Ekdal (63')
Malinovskyi (40'), Gosens (70')
Freuler (10'), Toloi (47'), de Roon (81')
Oct 24, 2020 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Sampdoria
Zapata (80' pen.)
Mojica (44'), Malinovskiy (66'), Luis Palomino (86')
Quagliarella (13'), Thorsby (59'), Jankto (90+1')
Tonelli (31'), Yoshida (47'), Balde (69'), Jankto (71')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli154741415-119
11Roma154471821-316
12Torino154471620-416
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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