Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atalanta BC win with a probability of 63.43%. A draw had a probability of 20.7% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 15.88%.
The most likely scoreline for an Atalanta BC win was 2-0 with a probability of 11.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.82%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (4.87%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 4.4% likelihood.
| Result | ||
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Lecce |
| 63.43% ( | 20.68% ( | 15.88% ( |
| Both teams to score 51.27% ( |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
| 55.67% ( | 44.32% ( |
| Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
| 33.3% ( | 66.7% ( |
| Atalanta BC Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 86.68% ( | 13.31% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 59.84% ( | 40.16% ( |
| Lecce Goals |
| Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
| 59.15% | 40.85% ( |
| Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 | |
| 22.58% ( | 77.42% ( |
| Score Analysis |
| Atalanta BC | Draw | Lecce |
| 2-0 @ 11.05% 1-0 @ 10.96% 2-1 @ 9.9% 3-0 @ 7.43% ( 3-1 @ 6.65% ( 4-0 @ 3.75% ( 4-1 @ 3.35% ( 3-2 @ 2.98% ( 5-0 @ 1.51% 4-2 @ 1.5% ( 5-1 @ 1.35% ( Other @ 2.99% Total : 63.42% | 1-1 @ 9.82% ( 0-0 @ 5.44% ( 2-2 @ 4.43% Other @ 1% Total : 20.68% | 0-1 @ 4.87% ( 1-2 @ 4.4% ( 0-2 @ 2.18% ( 2-3 @ 1.32% 1-3 @ 1.31% ( Other @ 1.8% Total : 15.88% |