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Serie A

Lazio logo
Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Lazio
0 - 2
Atalanta

FT(HT: 0-1)
Zappacosta (23'), Hojlund (65')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lazio

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Lazio
Monday, February 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A

Atalanta BC

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
39.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)26.27% (0.0019999999999989 0)34.72% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 53.15% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)51.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.84% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.32% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 39.01%
    Atalanta BC 34.72%
    Draw 26.27%
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.01%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.72%

How you voted: Lazio vs Atalanta

Lazio
70.1%
Draw
16.5%
Atalanta BC
13.4%
127
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 5pm
Atalanta
0-2
Lazio

Okoli (12')
Zaccagni (10'), Anderson (52')
Jan 22, 2022 7.45pm
Lazio
0-0
Atalanta

Pezzella (33'), Zappacosta (39'), Toloi (84')
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
2-2
Lazio
Zapata (45+1'), De Roon (90+4')
Demiral (78')
Pedro (18'), Immobile (74')
Felipe (34'), Reina (90+1'), Leiva (90+3')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Lazio
Pasalic (79')
Marusic (3'), Correa (51'), Muriqi (82')
Patric (23'), Musacchio (57')
Jan 27, 2021 4.45pm
Quarter-finals
Atalanta
3-2
Lazio
Djimsiti (7'), Malinovskyi (37'), Miranchuk (57')
Romero (11'), Malinovskyi (16')
Luis Palomino (53')
Muriqi (17'), Acerbi (34')
Patric (22'), Fares (22'), Escalante (57')
rhs 2.0


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