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Serie A | Gameweek 22
Feb 11, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Stadio Olimpico
Atalanta logo

Lazio
0 - 2
Atalanta


Zaccagni (40')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Zappacosta (23'), Hojlund (65')
Scalvini (57'), de Roon (60')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Serie A clash between Lazio and Atalanta BC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Hellas Verona 1-1 Lazio
Monday, February 6 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Sassuolo 1-0 Atalanta
Saturday, February 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

We said: Lazio 2-1 Atalanta BC

No team has scored more Serie A goals inside the first half-hour of play than Lazio (14), so there is always the chance they can catch their visitors cold with a fast start. If they do take the lead on Saturday, they will be doubly determined to make amends for recent lapses and keep Atalanta at bay - though not without some difficulty. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 39.01%. A win for Atalanta BC had a probability of 34.72% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.45%) and 2-0 (6.7%). The likeliest Atalanta BC win was 0-1 (9.23%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.8% likelihood.

Result
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
39.01% (-0.00099999999999767 -0) 26.27% (0.0019999999999989 0) 34.72% (-0.00099999999999767 -0)
Both teams to score 53.15% (-0.0020000000000024 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.52% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)51.48% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.71% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)73.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
Lazio Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.15% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)25.84% (0.0019999999999989 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.19% (-0.0039999999999978 -0)60.81% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Atalanta BC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.67% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)28.32% (0.0020000000000024 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.94% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)64.05% (0.0019999999999953 0)
Score Analysis
    Lazio 39.01%
    Atalanta BC 34.72%
    Draw 26.27%
LazioDrawAtalanta BC
1-0 @ 9.91% (0.00099999999999945 0)
2-1 @ 8.45%
2-0 @ 6.7%
3-1 @ 3.81%
3-0 @ 3.02%
3-2 @ 2.41%
4-1 @ 1.29%
4-0 @ 1.02% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 2.39%
Total : 39.01%
1-1 @ 12.49%
0-0 @ 7.32% (0.0010000000000003 0)
2-2 @ 5.33%
3-3 @ 1.01%
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.27%
0-1 @ 9.23% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-2 @ 7.88%
0-2 @ 5.82%
1-3 @ 3.31% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 2.45%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-4 @ 1.05%
Other @ 2.73%
Total : 34.72%

How you voted: Lazio vs Atalanta

Lazio
70.1%
Draw
16.5%
Atalanta BC
13.4%
127
Head to Head
Oct 23, 2022 5pm
Jan 22, 2022 7.45pm
Oct 30, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
2-2
Lazio
Zapata (45+1'), De Roon (90+4')
Demiral (78')
Pedro (18'), Immobile (74')
Felipe (34'), Reina (90+1'), Leiva (90+3')
Jan 31, 2021 2pm
Atalanta
1-3
Lazio
Pasalic (79')
Marusic (3'), Correa (51'), Muriqi (82')
Patric (23'), Musacchio (57')
Jan 27, 2021 4.45pm
Quarter-finals
Atalanta
3-2
Lazio
Djimsiti (7'), Malinovskyi (37'), Miranchuk (57')
Romero (11'), Malinovskyi (16')
Luis Palomino (53')
Muriqi (17'), Acerbi (34')
Patric (22'), Fares (22'), Escalante (57')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Atalanta BCAtalanta15111338172134
2Napoli15102321101132
3Inter Milan1494134151931
4Fiorentina1494128101831
5Lazio15101430171331
6Juventus1569024101427
7AC Milan146442416822
8Bologna145722018222
9Udinese156271822-420
10Empoli164751416-219
11Torino165471720-319
12Roma154471821-316
13Parma153662125-415
14Genoa153661324-1115
15CagliariCagliari153571525-1014
16Lecce15348826-1813
17Como152671628-1212
18Hellas VeronaHellas Verona1540111837-1912
19Monza151771319-610
20VeneziaVenezia1523101327-149


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