UEFA Conference League

Conference League | Round of 16 | 1st Leg

Mar 9, 2023 at 8pm UK

Stadio Artemio Franchi

Fiorentina
1 - 0
Sivasspor

(Fiorentina win 5-1 on aggregate)

Barak (69')

FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Fiorentina and Sivasspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Fiorentina

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Fiorentina 2-1 AC Milan
Saturday, March 4 at 7.45pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Sivasspor

All competitions

Europa Conference League

Last Game: Karagumruk 4-3 Sivasspor
Saturday, March 4 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig

Goals
for

Top scorers

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fiorentina win with a probability of 68.16%. A draw had a probability of 18.2% and a win for Sivasspor had a probability of 13.62%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fiorentina win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.74%) and 1-0 (9.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.5%), while for a Sivasspor win it was 1-2 (3.91%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.2% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fiorentina would win this match.

Result
Fiorentina	Draw	Sivasspor
68.16% ( 0.01)	18.22% ( -0.01)	13.62% ( -0)

Both teams to score 54.04% (

0.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.2% (

0.02)

37.8% (

-0.02)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.95% (

0.02)

60.05% (

-0.02)

Fiorentina Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

89.87% (

10.13% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

66.67% (

0.01)

33.33% (

-0.02)

Sivasspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.13% (

39.87% (

-0.01)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.47% (

76.53% (

-0.01)

Score Analysis

Fiorentina 68.16%

Sivasspor 13.62%

Draw 18.22%

Fiorentina	Draw	Sivasspor
2-0 @ 10.58% 2-1 @ 9.74% ( -0) 1-0 @ 9.25% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 8.08% 3-1 @ 7.43% ( 0) 4-0 @ 4.63% ( 0) 4-1 @ 4.25% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.42% ( 0) 5-0 @ 2.12% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.96% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.95% ( 0) Other @ 4.77% Total : 68.16%	1-1 @ 8.5% ( -0) 2-2 @ 4.48% 0-0 @ 4.04% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.05% Other @ 0.15% Total : 18.22%	1-2 @ 3.91% ( -0) 0-1 @ 3.71% ( -0) 0-2 @ 1.71% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.37% 1-3 @ 1.2% Other @ 1.71% Total : 13.62%