Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.

Result
Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Sivasspor
46.83% ( 0.35)	24.19% ( 0.15)	28.97% ( -0.51)

Both teams to score 57.75% (

-0.86)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

55.56% (

-0.98)

44.44% (

0.98)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

33.18% (

-0.96)

66.81% (

0.95)

Fatih Karagumruk Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

80.89% (

-0.25)

19.11% (

0.24)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

49.26% (

-0.41)

50.74% (

0.4)

Sivasspor Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

71.4% (

-0.85)

28.6% (

0.84)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

35.6% (

-1.07)

64.4% (

1.07)

Score Analysis

Fatih Karagumruk 46.83%

Sivasspor 28.97%

Draw 24.19%

Fatih Karagumruk	Draw	Sivasspor
2-1 @ 9.37% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 9.05% ( 0.31) 2-0 @ 7.48% ( 0.2) 3-1 @ 5.17% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 4.13% ( 0.08) 3-2 @ 3.24% ( -0.09) 4-1 @ 2.14% ( -0.02) 4-0 @ 1.71% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( -0.05) Other @ 3.22% Total : 46.83%	1-1 @ 11.32% ( 0.13) 2-2 @ 5.86% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 5.47% ( 0.23) 3-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.19%	1-2 @ 7.09% ( -0.09) 0-1 @ 6.84% ( 0.13) 0-2 @ 4.28% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 2.96% ( -0.11) 2-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.11) 0-3 @ 1.79% ( -0.05) 1-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.06) Other @ 2.64% Total : 28.97%