Karagumruk4 - 3Sivasspor
Form, Standings, Stats
Saturday, February 4 at 10.30am in Turkish Super Lig
Saturday, February 4 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig
We said: Fatih Karagumruk 2-1 Sivasspor
Karagumruk have not kept a clean sheet at the Vefa Stadium in their last five Super Lig games, and that run is expected to continue against this weekend's opponents, who have scored in five successive away fixtures. With Pirlo's men possessing more firepower up front, they should edge proceedings with both sides finding the back of the net. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fatih Karagumruk win with a probability of 46.83%. A win for Sivasspor had a probability of 28.97% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Fatih Karagumruk win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.37%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.05%) and 2-0 (7.48%). The likeliest Sivasspor win was 1-2 (7.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.32%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Fatih Karagumruk would win this match.
| Result | ||
| Fatih Karagumruk | Draw | Sivasspor |
46.83% ( 0.35) | 24.19% ( 0.15) | 28.97% ( -0.51) |
| Both teams to score 57.75% ( -0.86) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
