Alanyaspor
Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 20
Jan 22, 2023 at 1pm UK
Alanya Oba Stadium

Alanyaspor
2 - 2
Karagumruk

Gunes (6'), Cavaleiro (83')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Borini (59', 79')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Alanyaspor and Fatih Karagumruk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Alanyaspor

All competitions
Turkish Super Lig
Last Game: Alanyaspor 5-0 Trabzonspor
Monday, January 9 at 5pm in Turkish Super Lig

Fatih Karagumruk

All competitions
Last Game: Kasimpasa 2-2 Karagumruk
Sunday, January 15 at 1pm in Turkish Super Lig

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Alanyaspor win with a probability of 51.81%. A win for Fatih Karagumruk had a probability of 26.51% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Alanyaspor win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.39%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (6.81%) and 2-0 (6.8%). The likeliest Fatih Karagumruk win was 1-2 (6.5%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.41%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-2 draw for this match.

Result
AlanyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
51.81% (0.623 0.62)21.68% (-0.203 -0.2)26.51% (-0.421 -0.42)
Both teams to score 64.71% (0.349 0.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
65.6% (0.626 0.63)34.4% (-0.628 -0.63)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
43.68% (0.703 0.7)56.32% (-0.704 -0.7)
Alanyaspor Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
86.42% (0.41800000000001 0.42)13.58% (-0.421 -0.42)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
59.31% (0.83000000000001 0.83)40.69% (-0.831 -0.83)
Fatih Karagumruk Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.88% (0.040999999999997 0.04)25.12% (-0.042000000000002 -0.04)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.17% (0.056999999999995 0.06)59.83% (-0.058 -0.06)
Score Analysis
    Alanyaspor 51.81%
    Fatih Karagumruk 26.51%
    Draw 21.68%
AlanyasporDrawFatih Karagumruk
2-1 @ 9.39% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-0 @ 6.81% (-0.115 -0.11)
2-0 @ 6.8% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.094 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.53% (0.063 0.06)
3-2 @ 4.32% (0.069999999999999 0.07)
4-1 @ 3.12% (0.093 0.09)
4-0 @ 2.26% (0.065 0.07)
4-2 @ 2.16% (0.067 0.07)
5-1 @ 1.25% (0.056 0.06)
4-3 @ 0.99% (0.032 0.03)
5-0 @ 0.9% (0.039 0.04)
Other @ 3.03%
Total : 51.81%
1-1 @ 9.41% (-0.147 -0.15)
2-2 @ 6.49% (0.0070000000000006 0.01)
0-0 @ 3.41% (-0.111 -0.11)
3-3 @ 1.99% (0.034 0.03)
Other @ 0.38%
Total : 21.68%
1-2 @ 6.5% (-0.094 -0.09)
0-1 @ 4.71% (-0.148 -0.15)
0-2 @ 3.26% (-0.098 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.99% (-0.039 -0.04)
2-3 @ 2.99% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
0-3 @ 1.5% (-0.043 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.03% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-4 @ 1.03% (0.004 0)
Other @ 2.5%
Total : 26.51%

How you voted: Alanyaspor vs Karagumruk

Alanyaspor
66.7%
Draw
22.2%
Fatih Karagumruk
11.1%
9
Head to Head
Aug 7, 2022 5.15pm
Karagumruk
2-4
Alanyaspor
Borini (55'), Biraschi (72')
Shukurov (36'), Borini (54')
Eduardo (19', 70'), Bekiroglu (28'), Yardimci (90+3')
Bayir (15'), Candeias (45+3'), Bingol (76')
May 22, 2022 2pm
Karagumruk
0-1
Alanyaspor

Luckassen (90+3')
Karaca (37')
Awaziem (33'), Fer (55')
Dec 26, 2021 1pm
Alanyaspor
1-1
Karagumruk
Bekiroglu (57')
Bingol (21')
Pesic (70')
Durmaz (6'), Dursun (83')
Feb 27, 2021 10.30am
Karagumruk
2-0
Alanyaspor
Ndao (50'), Borini (88')
Ndao (54'), Bertolacci (54')

Davidson (55'), Ucan (66'), Juanfran (86')
Oct 25, 2020 1pm
Alanyaspor
2-0
Karagumruk
Davidson (8'), Babacar (81')
Ucan (56')

Balkovec (23')